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The Myth of the Game-Changing Kiwi Rugby Coach

Warren Gatland. Photo / Getty

They’re sought-after all over the world, but are they any good? Jamie Wall says the numbers don’t back up the legend of the franchise-saving imported Kiwi rugby coach.

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It seems like the natural path for a New Zealand pro-rugby player these days is a career playing Super Rugby, maybe the All Blacks if you’re good enough, then off to the Northern Hemisphere to pick up some coin before retirement. If you’re a coach, it’s the same but in reverse.

Kiwi coaches are being picked up all over the world with almost metronomic regularity. Ireland, Wales, Scotland and the United States all have one, and every major test playing nation (apart from South Africa) has had one in the past.

And yet, how many of them can claim to have actually been any good? You could point to Warren Gatland with Wales and Joe Schmidt with Ireland, although a closer examination at their records doesn’t do them any favours. Gatland’s win record is a hardly amazing 53%, while Schmidt’s a more favourable 69%. However, Ireland’s strength of schedule hasn’t been what you’d call tough, having only played the All Blacks, Wallabies and Springboks four times in total.

Their prestige seemingly comes from their success during the Six Nations, but anyone who had the misfortune of watching this year’s competition would tell you that’s nothing to brag about. Throw in early exits from last year’s World Cup and sudden Gatland and Schmidt look like pretty much any other Welsh or Irish head coach.England v Wales - RBS Six NationsScotland, admittedly, were one debatable penalty from a shock World Cup semi-final spot last year under Vern Cotter. So they went into this year’s Six Nations with high hopes, then proceeded to disappoint everyone by reverting to type; getting beaten by everyone except Italy and a soul-crushingly poor French team. Cotter’s record sits comfortably under 50% and shows no sign of bobbing above that inauspicious mark.

Canada were more than happy to renew former All Black Kieran Crowley’s contract despite him doing absolutely nothing noteworthy in his seven years in charge. Crowley then decided to jump ship and leave them for an Italian club side who were presumably offering him more money, anyway.

Perhaps the biggest example of an NZ reputation getting in the way of actual facts is the recent appointment of John Mitchell as coach of the US Eagles.  On paper, the acquisition of a former All Black player and coach would be a fantastic move for a team that consistently gets their potential talked up and consistently fail to deliver. Perhaps US rugby didn’t actually bother to read any of the numerous articles regarding Mitch’s questionable behaviour and inability to produce any results with any team other than the All Blacks. Even then, him leading the Eagles to a shock loss to Brazil recently really hinted the depths they’re about to plumb with him in charge.

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Is the proliferation of NZ coaches overseas a nefarious plot by NZ Rugby to undermine the strength of other test nations? If so, it’s working out very well and the strategic long game of sending Graham Henry and Steve Hansen over to Wales to establish a reputation back in the early 2000’s was key. But the masterstroke was bringing them back in exchange for the likes of Gatland, Mitchell and Robbie Deans.

Although they did also bring back John Kirwan, so their plan might not be that foolproof.

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J
JW 6 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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