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The Richie McCaw verdict on France and Ireland's World Cup chances

(Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)

Two-time World Cup-winning skipper Richie McCaw has given his verdict on the chances of host nation France and Grand Slam Guinness Six Nations champions Ireland at the upcoming finals in France. He also shared his thoughts on how Eddie Jones might do the Wallabies.

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There are now just 100 days to go before the September 8 opening match between the French and the All Blacks and McCaw is very much a retired player with a voice of authority given that he is the only man to win two Rugby World Cups as captain.

It was 2011 and 2015 when he raised aloft the Webb Ellis Cup following two very different wins in the finals against France and Australia and speaking to World Rugby during his recent visit to London to attend King Charles III’s coronation, McCaw sized up the chances of either France or Ireland becoming the first northern hemisphere country to win the World Cup since Clive Woodward’s England in 2003.

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“From a northern hemisphere point of view, Ireland have set the pace in the Six Nations and the French aren’t that far behind, so it makes it pretty intriguing,” he said on rugbyworldcup.com.

“There is no doubt that people consider the French and the Irish have got a pretty good chance of winning.

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“As we have found out in years gone by, where you are ranked going into a World Cup actually doesn’t necessarily count for a whole lot. But just to put aside the rankings, I got to see the Irish in New Zealand last year for three Tests and there is quite a strong resolve about them, of knowing they are on a mission.

“The way they put together that series win (over New Zealand) was pretty impressive and they have backed it up again just recently, so it is going to make it interesting.

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“Putting aside my allegiances for wanting the All Blacks to do well, it is pretty wide open as to who might win. You are not too sure what might happen.

“So there is that side of it and, I guess from a New Zealand point of view, you have sort of always known in the past that if they can put it together they can go and get the job done, whereas after the last year you sort of go, ‘Jeepers, there is going to have to be some improvements to put the team in the right spot’.”

If there is one lesson McCaw learned from his time in the game it is not to take the Wallabies lightly – even after a year when they only won five of their 14 Tests, including a first-ever loss to Italy, and changed coaches.

“Eddie Jones, whatever team he takes over, he usually causes some change pretty quick and they get a real bounce, and he will probably do the same with the Aussies,” he said.

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“You might think they might not be where you would usually consider them to be, but they have a unique way of using what they have got to be right in the mix.”

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6 Comments
J
Jack 568 days ago

Has the makings of the best world cup in living memory I hope all teams turn up and play to their potential as irosh point of view they have the worst side of the draw to break the hoodoo not passing the quarter final but this year having won the grand slam I feel we are like wales were four years ago a coach that trusts his players unlike schmidt didn't and he got results but had no plan b when things went against him I think farrell is different he leaves it to the players and his back room staff to work different things out. I'm hopeful that they will play to their potential or close unlike four years ago the embarrassing defeat to Japan

R
Roan1989 568 days ago

Sure, as it is such an intense competition, the RWC is going to deliver some upsets & surprises. But for all that, I have my reservations about France taking "Old Bill" - they are displaying too much confidence as a consequence of playing the entire competition on their home turf. We could go on & on like this, but, "on the day & in the moment" will deliver the unexpected. Let's hope & pray that the 2023 RWC will be a marvellous spectacle.

J
Jmann 570 days ago

when Rugby's GOAT speaks - you listen. No other rugby player understands what it takes to win like Richie McGod does.

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JW 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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