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The stat that explains the Wallabies' improvement in Bledisloe 2

Mark Nawaqanitawase with ball in hand for the Wallabies. Photo by SANKA VIDANAGAMA/AFP via Getty Images

The Wallabies kicked off Bledisloe 2 with their most impressive 30 minutes of the year so far, surging out to a 17-3 lead just 22 minutes into the match. The All Blacks slowly turned the match around and a clutch penalty kick from Richie Mo’unga sealed the comeback win but those first 30 minutes were enough to raise a few eyebrows ahead of the World Cup.

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Eddie Jones’ selection experiments have uncovered a physical pack with plenty of youthful enthusiasm among the veteran leadership.

That physicality put the Wallabies on the front foot early against the All Blacks, winning territory and building plenty of pressure both on the scoreboard and at set piece.

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Dissecting what contributed to the Australians’ early success, James Parsons found plenty of positives but one statistic in particular caught the analyst’s eye.

“The team that wins this World Cup is going to have to be really strong at set piece,” Parsons told the Aotearoa Rugby Pod. “That’s where they disrupted the All Blacks and nailed their own stuff early.

“They were big in the collision and the breakdown area. When you say collision, it’s the strong carry and/or defensively you’re winning that collision. Not so much the breakdown, that will be taken care of by what happens in that carry/tackle area.

“The stat that will interest you most about the Australians, it is the most offloads they’ve had in a game, I think in say 12 months. It was purely because the easiest way to offload is winning the contact area and then you can free your arms.

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“If you don’t win that contact and then throw the offload it’s just bubbling around and a waste of time.

“So I thought that was interesting as that just showed how dominant they were in the first 30 minutes.”

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The Wallabies are rich in their supply of strong ball carriers, with Rob Valetini often leading the charge with youngster Angus Bell not far behind. In the Dunedin Test, Nick Frost, Pone Fa’amausili and Tom Hooper also each contributed double-digit carry numbers while newly named captain Will Skelton contributed six carries in his cameo off the bench.

It was Mark Nawaqanitawase who threw the most offloads in the match with Bell also handing out two of his own.

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The podcast’s panel concluded the collision dominance in that opening period shows plenty of promise and will build plenty of confidence in Eddie Jones’ squad heading into the World Cup.

The challenge will of course be turning that 30-minute performance into an 80-minute one under the bright lights of France.

The Australians play France in their final World Cup warm-up match before taking on Georgia, Fiji, Wales and Portugal in Pool C. Whether that handful of matches is enough for Eddie Jones and co to get this team firing for those full 80 minutes, only time will tell.

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3 Comments
D
David 463 days ago

sure australia improved but foster gave them a hand by resting lots of players as well

0
007 463 days ago

Last time I checked rugby was an 80-minute game.
30-minute dominant periods or 'plenty of promise' and 'youthful enthusiasm' does not guarantee success in test rugby.
No team can consistently sustain that intensity throughout the duration of a test match. Not even France and Ireland (the exception being France vs England in this year's 6 Nations).

m
mitch 463 days ago

They dominated the first half but didn’t score enough points. They should have had another 10 to 15 points for that dominance. The Wallabies have got plenty of improvement in them and they need to be scoring more points. They should have put that game away in the first half but couldn’t. It will come the more that backline plays together. Koroibete and Mark N need to be finishing more rather than starting breaks. You see Mark come into the centre field and often breaks tackles and a lot of players just rubber neck. The big difference last game was McReight backs everything up but we need the backs doing it as well. The Wallabies could be much more lethal if guys can play heads up more and push themselves when there’s a sniff.

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JW 1 hour ago
France outwrestle All Blacks in titanic Test for one-point win

Yeah nar I pretty much agree with that sentiment, wasn't just about the lineout though.


Yeah, I think it's the future of SR, even TRC. Graham above just now posting about how good a night it was with a dbl header of ENGvSA and NZvFrance, and now I don't want to kick SA or Argentina out of TRC but it would be great if in this next of the woods 2 more top teams could come in to create more of these sort of nights (for rugby's appeal). Often Arg and SA and both travel here and you get those games but more often doesn't work out right.


Obviously a long way off but USA and Japan are the obvious two. First thing we need to do is get Eddie Jones kicked out of Japan so they can start improving again and then get a couple of US teams in SRP (even if one its just a US based and augmented Jaguares).


It will start off the whole conferences are crap debate again (which I will continue to argue vehemently against), but imagine a 6 team Pacific conference, Tokyo Sunwolves (drafted from Tokyo JRLO teams), Tokyo All Stars (made up of best remaining foreign players and overseas drafts), ALL Nihon (best of local non Tokyo based talent, inc China/Korea etc, with mainland Japan), a could of West Coast american franchises and perhaps a second self PI driven Hawai'i based team, or Jagaures. So I see a short NFL like 3 or 4 month comp as fitting best, maybe not even a full round, NZvAUSvPAC, all games taking place within a 6hr window. Model for NZ will definitely still require a competitive and funded NPC!


On the Crusaders, I liked last years ending with Grace on the bench (ovbiously form dependent but thats how it ended) and Lio-Willie at 8. I could have Blackadder trying to be a 7 but think balance will be used with him at 6 and Kellow as 7. Scott Barrett is an international 6 sized player. It is just NZ style/model that pushes him into the tight, I reckon he'd be a great loose player, and saders have Strange and Cahill as bigger players (plus that change could draw someone like Darry back). Same with Haig now, hes not grown yet but Barrett hight and been playing 6, now that the Highlanders have only chosen two locks he'll be playing lock, and that is going to change his growth trajectory massively, rather than seeing him grow like an International 6.

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T
Tom 1 hour ago
England player ratings vs South Africa | 2024 Autumn Nations Series

Interesting post. I realise that try was down to Marcus Smith not Slade, this is why I mentioned that England's attack is completely reliant on Smith working miracles. Just wanted to highlight that Slade's little touch was classy and most English players would have cocked it up. Earl has gas, he's very athletic but Underhill is nailed on at 7 in my eyes though. They both need to be on the pitch so we need a tall 6 or 8 to complement them which we have in CCS and potentially Ollie Chessum. We also have young Henry Pollock who may be the 7 by the world cup.


The whole attack needs an overhaul but Richard Wigglesworth our attack coach was a very limited scrum half who excelled at box kicking and had no running game. Spent most of his career with Saracens who mauled, defended and set pieced their way to victory.... Which might have been ok if Felix Jones hadn't quit and been replaced by a guy who coaches Oyonnax who have one of the worst defences in the French 2nd division. I'm not too emotionally invested in England right now because this coaching setup isn't capable of winning anything.


England had no attack when they were winning under Eddie either. They battered teams with huge dominant tackles and won from pressure. The last time England had any creativity in attack was the Stuart Lancaster/Mike Catt era. They played some fantastic attacking rugby but results were mediocre, lots of 2nd place finishes in the 6N although it felt like we were building something special until we got brutally dumped out of our home world cup in the pool stage.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
England player ratings vs South Africa | 2024 Autumn Nations Series

As has been the way all year, and for all England's play I can remember. I missed a lot of the better years under Eddie though.


Lets have a look at the LQB for the last few games... 41% under 3 sec compared to 56% last week, 47% in the game you felt England best in against NZ, and 56 against Ireland.


That was my impression as well. Dunno if that is a lack of good counterattack ball from the D, forward dominance (Post Contact Meters stats reversed yesterday compared to that fast Ireland game), or some Borthwick scheme, but I think that has been highlighted as Englands best point of difference this year with their attack, more particularly how they target using it in certain areas. So depending on how you look at it, not necessarily the individual players.


You seem to be falling into the same trap as NZs supporters when it comes to Damien McKenzie. That play you highlight Slade in wasn't one of those LQB situations from memory, that was all on the brilliance of Smith. Sure, Slade did his job in that situation, but Smith far exceeded his (though I understand it was a move Sleightholme was calling for). But yeah, it's not always going to be on a platter from your 10 and NZ have been missing that Slade line, in your example, more often than not too. When you go back to Furbank and Feyi-Waboso returns you'll have that threat again. Just need to generate that ball, wait for some of these next Gen forwards to come through etc, the props and injured 6 coming back to the bench. I don't think you can put Earl back to 7, unless he spends the next two years speeding up (which might be good for him because he's getting beat by speed like he's not used to not having his own speed to react anymore).

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