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‘I’ll have a look’: The worrying All Blacks stat that stunned Scott Robertson

All Black head coach Scott Robertson during the Castle Lager Rugby Championship match between South Africa and New Zealand at Emirates Airline Park on August 31, 2024 in Johannesburg, South Africa. (Photo by Gordon Arons/Gallo Images/Getty Images)

All Blacks coach Scott Robertson let out a perplexed sigh after being asked a question in Saturday’s press conference at Ellis Park. Robertson had just been made aware of New Zealand’s struggles when it comes to scoring in the last 20 minutes of Tests this year.

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The All Blacks started their new era under Robertson with a slender 16-15 win over England in Dunedin, another hard-fought win over the English a week later in Auckland, and then a dominant triumph over the Flying Fijians in San Diego.

But, with The Rugby Championship points on the line, a worrying trend emerged. New Zealand failed to score in the final quarter of their two Tests against Argentina, and it was the same story as they fell to a heartbreaking loss to South Africa in Johannesburg.

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New Zealand led 27-17 before replacement prop Ofa Tu’ungafasi was shown a yellow card in the 67th minute. Then, the hosts scored two quick tries through Kwagga Smith and Grant Williams as they recorded a comeback win for the ages.

After the all-time classic at the world-famous Ellis Park, ‘Razor’ Robertson was made aware of the concerning trend. While it was believed the All Blacks had failed to score in the final 20 minutes of four Tests in 2024, the real number (three) is just as concerning.

“It’s the first time I’ve heard that stat so, good work,” Robertson told reporters.

“I’ll have a look at it.”

That result was the one that got away for the All Blacks. New Zealand have, historically, built a reputation on closing out Test matches but the visitors weren’t able to do that in front of a hostile Ellis Park crowd of around 60,000.

Jordie Barrett scored about 60 seconds into the second half, and Caleb Clarke completed a try-scoring double with an effort about 10 minutes later. It appeared to be tracking well for the All Blacks before the match’s momentum swung drastically in the hosts’ favour.

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When replacement halfback Grant Williams scored with about six minutes left to play, and after the conversion from Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, there was a feeling the match was over. The crowd went berserk and the Springboks seemed to thrive off that.

The All Blacks have instead been left to rue what could’ve been.

“It’s obviously the discipline stuff, a bit of kick battle, small moments and the game changed just a little bit of momentum,” Robertson reflected.

“Then off the back of that with a bit of discipline, all those things combined, really.

“Look, a lot of South African players could start, couldn’t they? They’ve got good depth and they play that well,” he added. “But we still had opportunities.

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“Great experience for those young guys but we’ve just got to execute better because that’s how we’re going to finish Tests better.”

With the Freedom Cup now on the line, the All Blacks will take on the Springboks next Saturday in a battle that will have historic ramifications. South Africa will want to push their case further for Rugby Championship winners status, which now seems to be within reach.

But the All Blacks will have a thing or two to say about that. The Rugby Championship is by no means over at this stage, but there’s also no question that the Springboks are in a prime position to take out the crown for the first time since 2019.

“The great week down in Cape Town, we’re looking forward to it. There’s always plenty of support down there,” captain Scott Barrett said.

“I guess we’ll relish the occasion and hopefully put a performance in that’s a little bit better than tonight.”

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194 Comments
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GrahamVF 111 days ago

The Gods of rugby have a strange sense of humour. Be careful what you wish for - for years AB coaches and commentators have been going on about wanting to play a faster less interrupted game. But they haven't scored a single point in the past twenty minutes and in fact have all but imploded. Be careful what you wish for.

R
Rooksie 108 days ago

Really for years have they 😆 🤣

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JW 5 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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