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Many areas of concern for the All Blacks, it's hard to know where to start

(Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)

The All Blacks‘ first missed tackle of the night took all of 40 seconds as Caelan Doris dummied away the outside defender Sam Whitelock and slipped through the grasp of a diving Nepo Laulala.

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Much like the second test in Dunedin, Ireland came out of the blocks fast and rolled over the All Blacks defence. Doris sliced up the middle first, then Ireland recycled rapidly and Sexton ran a cutter play to link with Hugo Keenan out the back.

The Irish fullback then drew a two-man tackle from David Havili and Akira Ioane to thread Robbie Henshaw into a gap, which led to break away down the left side.

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All Blacks post-match press conference

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All Blacks post-match press conference

Only a Beauden Barrett intercept saved face to prevent Ireland scoring inside two minutes.

It was almost a direct repeat of the opening passage in Dunedin where the sleepy All Black defence failed to stay connected, make disciplined reads or understand what was being thrown at them.

Once Doris was brought down deep into the backfield, not one All Black close by was interested in striking at the isolated runner in the backfield.

They were happy to give Gibson-Park an uncontested pill and a rapid quick recycle inviting Ireland with an open jaw to hit them again with another punch.

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All through the series the All Blacks struggled to control the action in close quarters. The All Black tight five, in particular, were largely responsible for that.

They were sluggish, soft and just slower than the hard-working Irish pack. Farrell’s mobile unit, led by workhorse Josh van der Flier, trod through them on too many occasions to count, using deft passing between them or just hard straight carries.

The ruck pressure by Foster’s side was almost non-existent which also played into Ireland’s hands. They did not have any trouble playing at the tempo they wanted.

Often technically poor and slow to react, the All Blacks did not hold or position themselves with strength over the ball to be in with a chance to win a penalty, a steal or even just slow the ball down frequently enough.

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When they did get it right, some other indiscretion let them down. Laulala had a critical steal overturned by Sam Cane taking a man off the ball, and then Ireland turned down the potential three points to maul straight over the All Blacks pack for their first five pointer.

Cane got one on the stroke of halftime but all too often the Irish cleanout blew the doors off any All Black that dared to go near the ruck, which was not often.

With execution errors and poor discipline, the defence was put under the spotlight frequently in the first half and continued to be cut open by an Irish side that operates with surgical precision.

Two tries in Wellington were crafted within three phases of a set-piece launch, finished by Hugo Keenan and Robbie Henshaw.

The All Blacks’ attacking game has not been much better than the defence over the last two tests.

The early plan in the third test was to send a barrage of high balls at Hugo Keenan and Mack Hansen, but the contests were rarely won back.

The first prime time attacking opportunity in Irish territory resulted in Beauden Barrett launching a spiral bomb on first phase. The wobbly high ball, despite being difficult to catch, was marked for a free kick resulting in a waste of possession.

It was the same wasteful tactic that the All Blacks used at the 2019 Rugby World Cup against South Africa and England. Ireland cleared the line and then stole the next lineout throw.

Akira Ioane and Ardie Savea are brilliant ball carriers who bring world class power to the table, but asking them to carry the team forward through contact is very one dimensional.

Both loose forwards got individual tries on their own accord to get the All Blacks back into the game in the second half but it was all too individualistic. Will Jordan’s spectacular effort was the same, relying upon a star to make something happen.

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Once New Zealand rugby was the best in the world with ball skills, creating and exploiting space with open running rugby, now it has become monotone by default.

They don’t have the cohesion to run schemes like Ireland with well-timed running lines and passes, so they resort to giving the likes of Ioane and Savea as many carries as possible to generate go forward.

The strike plans go something like this: a simple backs play to crash up the first ruck, followed by a Ioane carry coming around the corner, followed by a Savea carry around the corner.

Then maybe try a strike phase on the fourth phase, which often doesn’t come into fruition as a bad pass or key mistimed running line kills the flow.

That’s if the All Blacks can get past the first three phases, which has been a serious issue over the last two tests.

The All Blacks game has morphed into smashing through or over people through one pass carries off 9 in the absence of smart, crafted ball-playing and line running to open up a gap with varied ball movement.

The high number of handling and execution errors means they often can’t even play the power game.

Their best passage of play was early in the second half where they strung 20 plus phases together which led to the Savea try, where the game plan worked momentarily. The side played with intensity that was completely missing in the first half but it was a short-lived burst.

With 10 minutes to go the All Blacks were down two scores and had a scrum right in front of the sticks, splitting the Irish backs, they were in desperate need of a try in that moment to keep the game alive.

Debutant Roger Tuivasa-Sheck had just come on the field and had right wing Mack Hansen marked up on him one-on-one. They could not even muster a carry for the dynamic stepper to work his magic from 10-metres out.

Instead, the scrum was monstered and they turned over possession cheaply shortly after.

In phase play, when they did try to move the ball with a bit of width, too often the Barrett boys and Havili added too much depth on the ball and the forwards would only move forward if they were taking a carry.

It was stagnant, backpedaling, shovel-ball rugby with little-to-no directness.

The tactic of hitting the third forward runner in the pod had a very short expiry date. It was successful in the first test but once Ireland knew what was coming, it had to be binned.

The third man has no cleaning support on the outside so if he is chopped down behind the gain line or dragged sideways, the ruck is always going to be under pressure. The likes of Henshaw and van der Flier were flying up to hit that runner if they tried it.

The All Blacks’ ruck was too slow, too often, resulting in slow service from Aaron Smith and static ball onward from there. The cleaning work from the pack isn’t efficient enough to generate the ruck speed that Ireland have.

Overall, Ireland were just better in every aspect of the game so it is no surprise that they claimed a historic win in the third test. They were fantastic and thoroughly deserved the series.

It is a monumental achievement for Farrell’s Irish side, becoming just the third team in history to beat the All Blacks in New Zealand in a three-match series along side South Africa in 1937 and Australia in 1986.

It seems imperative now that the All Blacks avoid a quarter-final matchup with Ireland, who are unlikely to repeat the horrors of 2019 after achieving this feat. They have Foster’s number on speed dial.

There are so many areas of concern for the All Blacks it’s hard to know where to start, but the good news is that when they next play the Springboks in South Africa, they will not have to play the world’s best structured attack.

The Boks cannot run anything like Ireland can, so the reads will be easier and the defence will not need to improve to see better results.

It will be direct, physical, unimaginative stuff that the All Blacks will just have to man up for.

The best thing Foster could hope for would be for the Springboks to get ahead of themselves and copy Ireland’s formula, as they would not doubt implode without the same level of skills and the All Blacks counter-attack game would run riot.

However, after a historically bad run against France and Ireland, they will travel to South Africa as underdogs. The Springboks have to be short favourites at home to sweep them over the two tests purely on this alone.

Expectations are now terribly low for this All Blacks side that most would expect one, if not two, losses in the Republic.

But the Springboks are not Ireland, so the script will be written differently. All the expectations now weigh on South Africa whose adoring fans are desperate to be crowned the world’s best again.

Well, here are Foster’s All Blacks who have just lost four of their last five tests. The perfect lamb.

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Comments

15 Comments
J
Jérémie 887 days ago

Euh, France have won one tour and had one draw in New Zeland :)

B
Brandon 887 days ago

Well hello there Ben, greetings from your favourite rugby nation, South Africa. . . jokes aside, good piece and, yes, THAT Irish attack (pace, running lines, support) really did impress and, yes, the Boks haven't looked to evolve much since last year (in this past series).

We all expect more from the talent available and, hopefully, we can see a bit more spark and enterprise against the ABs.

NZ tends to bring the best out of our boys - so we look forward to hosting you - up here in the highveld, twice.

R
Ryno 887 days ago

As someone who watched Brian Lochore's and Andy Leslie's 1970 and 1976 teams and everything that came after, I regard myself as a friend of NZ rugby, so I'm not here to take digs. NZ rugby is in a state of shock and looking for a scapegoat. It seems obvious to me that the problem goes beyond Ian Foster. NZ bosses allowed them to become isolated. What did NZ teams learn from Aoteoroa rugby, where they all played running rugby in the same style? Or from beating weak Aussie teams (with the exception of the Brumbies)? By contrast, the SA teams were exposed to new competition and were initially humbled in the URC competition, but they learned and improved. For example, the Bulls lost 31-0 to Leinster in Ireland, but adapted, came back and beat them there in the semi-final. With hindsight, Covid was a blessing for SA rugby because it forced them to move north. IMO, NZ will have to significantly expand or alter their domestic competitions in order not to become stagnant.

J
Jamie 2 887 days ago

The Bok's may not be Ireland in their current form but the Bok's are on home turf with a partisan crowd, so it will be a test of mental as well as physical stamina for Foster's All Black team.

Hopefully, the referee wont have a starring role during this 2022 Rugby Championship, but you get the feeling that southern hemisphere rugby is being restructured by the northern hemisphere board room rule makers who prefer the systematic European journeyman style of defensive game, which is about the only style that stifles the lively running passing game made popular by Super Rugby, with tries galore, and preferred by most sports TV viewers who see rugby union as lacking commercial interest, especially in Australia. Not so long ago the professional squads developed by establishment English and French club rugby didn't have the development player depth in Europe until recently, and now that England, Ireland and France have created some depth with their younger talent it's catching the now veteran All Black players and coaches off balance tactically, also the penchant of the NZR to maintain a sort of elite player status quo for high status games is revealing a few flaws when it comes to creating effecting multi-functional team combinations, but you have to say it may all be a bit late for NZ in the coming RWC, which is only 14 months away, achieving winning combinations for various set piece roles takes at least 3 years to get right, the AB's are now stuck with what player combinations they have, and will retain some players who you would say may be in the twilight of their test careers and are injury prone.

I believe that the All Blacks will be competitive, and will find some form against lesser capable sides, but any cockiness that was common among rugby commentators in NZ for hypes sake, will be tempered by some uneasiness, which wasn't the case a year or so ago.

R
Ryno 888 days ago

Interesting analysis. Another dismissive view of the Boks from a Kiwi scribe. He might have forgotten (or never even knew) that the Bulls beat Leinster in Ireland, and the Stormers beat Ulster at home to eliminate the Irish teams from the URC. No, the "Springboks are not Ireland", but they're not intimidated by them and they're waiting for the All Blacks.

K
KBOB 888 days ago

to be fair... the AB scrum was depowered by two red-card worthy challenges... meaning we needed to bring on an injured prop to keeps scrums competitive.

G
Greg 888 days ago

Good analysis by Ben Smith. The ABs need to get a video of the Irish pre-game warmup. Two full teams of Irishmen out there, bibbed up, contested scrums and lineouts, opposed drives, backs running moves, everything done at top speed with military precision, with assistant coaches right in there calling the drills. Up the other end, the ABs were loosening up, a few passes, wrestles, mock scrums, some kicks, while Fossie and Plums stood having a yarn... Only one team was ready to operate at full speed from the first whistle. And the ABS wonder why they can't start better!

R
Ruaan 888 days ago

So... the ABs plan of attack now mirrors that of the Boks? You have to appreciate the irony in that.

L
Louis 888 days ago

The AB's might well sneak a win against the Boks simply due to the motivation offered by the rivalry between the teams, but I cannot help but smile when Smith goes on and on about the Boks supposed lack of skill. If he watched any of the Stormers games in the URC, and the performance of Bok player all over Europe, he'd cease. They play the way they do because it is successful, you know. (As England is at present.) Their rating presently is simply due to a rather unlucky loss to Engeland despite being dominant, and narrowly losing against Wales, sporting their second stringers.

C
Chesterfield 888 days ago

The Irish and most Northern hemisphere teams are playing a game based upon knowing NZ players are constantly trying for the offload. They know that the offload causes a turnover at almost double the rate so the more AB’s offload the higher the total number of turnovers per game.

The average offload attempts per game has dropped from 30 to 15 per game in international rugby. Which when the ratio of turnover to offload is 2:1 means teams offloading more will give 30 more turnovers per game than the team not offloading So they are stuck in the old way of turning over every 1.4 phases/carries. Teams that are constantly trying for the offload will lose possession far more often than those that don’t, whereas carrying to hold and recycle causes a turnover every three phases for them.
Rugby is simple in the necessity to tackle, and on average there are 134 made per match yet the NZ team are short by 30-35 tackles.
The whole Irish pack tackles, every one of them was in double digits. In Test 1, 2 and 3.
Whereas the NZ tight five did not get through the tackles in the second and third match. (Of course it helps if the props can stay on the field, .
But fundamentally you have to have the whole pack defend.
Game 1 Irish Total Tackles 134 T five 61 All blacks 197 T five 78.
Game 2 Irish total 166 T five 80 All blacks 106 T five 37.
Game 3 Irish T 199 five 66 All blacks 101 T five 34.

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GrahamVF 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

"has SA actually EVER helped to develop another union to maturity like NZ has with Japan," yes - Argentina. You obviously don't know the history of Argentinian rugby. SA were touring there on long development tours in the 1950's

We continued the Junior Bok tours to the Argentine through to the early 70's

My coach at Grey High was Giepie Wentzel who toured Argentine as a fly half. He told me about how every Argentinian rugby club has pictures of Van Heerden and Danie Craven on prominent display. Yes we have developed a nation far more than NZ has done for Japan. And BTW Sa players were playing and coaching in Japan long before the Kiwis arrived. Fourie du Preez and many others were playing there 15 years ago.


"Isaac Van Heerden's reputation as an innovative coach had spread to Argentina, and he was invited to Buenos Aires to help the Pumas prepare for their first visit to South Africa in 1965.[1][2] Despite Argentina faring badly in this tour,[2] it was the start of a long and happy relationship between Van Heerden and the Pumas. Izak van Heerden took leave from his teaching post in Durban, relocated to Argentina, learnt fluent Spanish, and would revolutionise Argentine play in the late 1960s, laying the way open for great players such as Hugo Porta.[1][2] Van Heerden virtually invented the "tight loose" form of play, an area in which the Argentines would come to excel, and which would become a hallmark of their playing style. The Pumas repaid the initial debt, by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park, and emerged as one of the better modern rugby nations, thanks largely to the talents of this Durban schoolmaster.[1]"


After the promise made by Junior Springbok manager JF Louw at the end of a 12-game tour to Argentina in 1959 – ‘I will do everything to ensure we invite you to tour our country’ – there were concerns about the strength of Argentinian rugby. South African Rugby Board president Danie Craven sent coach Izak van Heerden to help the Pumas prepare and they repaid the favour by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park.

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