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The Highlanders are yet to hit rock bottom, but their rise will be immense

Aaron Smith shakes hands with Folau Fakatava of the Highlanders after winning the round five Super Rugby Pacific match between Moana Pasifika and Hurricanes at Mt Smart Stadium, on March 25, 2023, in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

After sliding slowly down the Super Rugby standings in recent seasons, 2023 has seen the Highlanders fall out of the top eight and miss the playoffs. The premature end to the season also spells the end of one club legend’s tenure with the team, as well as another All Black and more of their promising talent.

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So how bad will things get for the Highlanders and how bright is that light at the end of the tunnel?

Observing the competition, Super Rugby has some young teams on the rise. The Drua have made huge strides to emerge as a competitive team in just their second year in Super Rugby. Both the Australian sides who finished below the Highlanders, the Force and Rebels, have young pivots forging a clear direction for their future.

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2024 brings with it a new World Cup cycle and an exodus of veteran players, which is a challenge that all teams will face. The Highlanders though will lose perhaps their greatest-ever representative, Aaron Smith. Smith’s experience as the most capped Highlander and most capped All Black back of all time is irreplaceable and equally, his talent.

Joining Smith at the airport will be All Black Shannon Frizell and All Blacks XV No 8 Marino Mikaele Tu’u while Fetuli Paea will also head offshore. The outlook would suggest results will get worse before they get better for the Dunedin side.

The Highlanders have been considered and methodical with their future planning though, prioritising key positions when assembling their squad of the future.

“The Highlanders are going to be rebuilding and they’ve finally realised that they need to invest in recruiting earlier and developing those players in the region,” Former Highlander Joey Wheeler told the Aotearoa Rugby Pod. “They haven’t done that in the past, but they’ve put some investment in that, it started about three years ago and they will soon see the fruits of that.

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“If they can hold on to their young talent then I think they will be in really good stead for the future.

“They’ve got some really good young men coming through that program, I look at Ajay Faleafaga, who’s going to make the New Zealand U20s this year, Cam Millar was a part of the U20s last year,  so two really good young 10s coming through the system. Finn Hurley, a good young 15 who made the U20s last year.

“What’s glaringly obvious is Mitch Hunt had a disappointing season this year. Since Lima Sopoaga and Ben Smith, they haven’t been able to find a combination at that 9-10-15, the real spine and the drivers of that Highlanders side. That’s the glaringly obvious part that they’re missing, I believe.”

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Folau Fakatava has shown plenty of upside throughout his young career with the Highlanders, the No 9 brings a different flavour to Smith but could be the frontman to an exhilarating young backline in the years to come.

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Faleafaga and Millar will battle it out to be the next pillar in that new spine while Hurley will have to challenge Sam Gilbert for the fullback role. Each position has promising talent and enough of it to make for healthy competition.

However, a backline is only as good as the platform they can play on top of. The Highlanders are working their magic there too.

“If you look at a guy like Sean Withy,” Former Blues hooker James Parsons added. ” he’s a player that has got a massive future. Billy Harmon too. It hasn’t been an easy year with injuries for the Highlanders, it’s not as straightforward as people think in terms of skillset.

“You’re always going to be in the contest if you have got that talent around the breakdown. We know they’ve got the ability when healthy, around set piece as well. Ethan de Groot, man, he’s playing some of his best rugby and as I like to say, it’s won up front. There’s some key men that can deliver that for them.”

Withy is one of a number of young forwards making the most of their game time for the Highlanders. 140kg Prop Saula Ma’u is starting to profit from consistent minutes while lock Fabian Holland and loose forward Nikora Broughton have impressed in their brief appearances.

Time will tell just how long it takes for the Highlanders’ new crop to reach their potential. A rebuild of this proportion is unusual for a New Zealand Super Rugby team, it may fail to fire, but it might just ignite a new dynasty.

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Otagoman II 564 days ago

Some green shoots but will they be tended to properly by the coaching group? They had a 10 to lead them but they stuffed him around in different positions and got rid of him. that was Josh Ioane. This mess is the result of Tony Brown's tenure, who didn't even really want the job.

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JW 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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