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The Highlanders are yet to hit rock bottom, but their rise will be immense

Aaron Smith shakes hands with Folau Fakatava of the Highlanders after winning the round five Super Rugby Pacific match between Moana Pasifika and Hurricanes at Mt Smart Stadium, on March 25, 2023, in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

After sliding slowly down the Super Rugby standings in recent seasons, 2023 has seen the Highlanders fall out of the top eight and miss the playoffs. The premature end to the season also spells the end of one club legend’s tenure with the team, as well as another All Black and more of their promising talent.

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So how bad will things get for the Highlanders and how bright is that light at the end of the tunnel?

Observing the competition, Super Rugby has some young teams on the rise. The Drua have made huge strides to emerge as a competitive team in just their second year in Super Rugby. Both the Australian sides who finished below the Highlanders, the Force and Rebels, have young pivots forging a clear direction for their future.

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2024 brings with it a new World Cup cycle and an exodus of veteran players, which is a challenge that all teams will face. The Highlanders though will lose perhaps their greatest-ever representative, Aaron Smith. Smith’s experience as the most capped Highlander and most capped All Black back of all time is irreplaceable and equally, his talent.

Joining Smith at the airport will be All Black Shannon Frizell and All Blacks XV No 8 Marino Mikaele Tu’u while Fetuli Paea will also head offshore. The outlook would suggest results will get worse before they get better for the Dunedin side.

The Highlanders have been considered and methodical with their future planning though, prioritising key positions when assembling their squad of the future.

“The Highlanders are going to be rebuilding and they’ve finally realised that they need to invest in recruiting earlier and developing those players in the region,” Former Highlander Joey Wheeler told the Aotearoa Rugby Pod. “They haven’t done that in the past, but they’ve put some investment in that, it started about three years ago and they will soon see the fruits of that.

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“If they can hold on to their young talent then I think they will be in really good stead for the future.

“They’ve got some really good young men coming through that program, I look at Ajay Faleafaga, who’s going to make the New Zealand U20s this year, Cam Millar was a part of the U20s last year,  so two really good young 10s coming through the system. Finn Hurley, a good young 15 who made the U20s last year.

“What’s glaringly obvious is Mitch Hunt had a disappointing season this year. Since Lima Sopoaga and Ben Smith, they haven’t been able to find a combination at that 9-10-15, the real spine and the drivers of that Highlanders side. That’s the glaringly obvious part that they’re missing, I believe.”

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Folau Fakatava has shown plenty of upside throughout his young career with the Highlanders, the No 9 brings a different flavour to Smith but could be the frontman to an exhilarating young backline in the years to come.

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Faleafaga and Millar will battle it out to be the next pillar in that new spine while Hurley will have to challenge Sam Gilbert for the fullback role. Each position has promising talent and enough of it to make for healthy competition.

However, a backline is only as good as the platform they can play on top of. The Highlanders are working their magic there too.

“If you look at a guy like Sean Withy,” Former Blues hooker James Parsons added. ” he’s a player that has got a massive future. Billy Harmon too. It hasn’t been an easy year with injuries for the Highlanders, it’s not as straightforward as people think in terms of skillset.

“You’re always going to be in the contest if you have got that talent around the breakdown. We know they’ve got the ability when healthy, around set piece as well. Ethan de Groot, man, he’s playing some of his best rugby and as I like to say, it’s won up front. There’s some key men that can deliver that for them.”

Withy is one of a number of young forwards making the most of their game time for the Highlanders. 140kg Prop Saula Ma’u is starting to profit from consistent minutes while lock Fabian Holland and loose forward Nikora Broughton have impressed in their brief appearances.

Time will tell just how long it takes for the Highlanders’ new crop to reach their potential. A rebuild of this proportion is unusual for a New Zealand Super Rugby team, it may fail to fire, but it might just ignite a new dynasty.

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3 Comments
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Otagoman II 517 days ago

Some green shoots but will they be tended to properly by the coaching group? They had a 10 to lead them but they stuffed him around in different positions and got rid of him. that was Josh Ioane. This mess is the result of Tony Brown's tenure, who didn't even really want the job.

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Oh no, not him again? 1 hour ago
England internationals disagree on final play execution vs All Blacks

Okay, so we blew it big time on Saturday. So rather than repeating what most people have all ready said, what do I want to see from Borthwick going forward?


Let's keep Marcus Smith on the pitch if he's fit and playing well. I was really pleased with his goal kicking. It used to be his weakness. I feel sympathy for George Ford who hadn't kicked all match and then had a kick to win the game. You hear pundits and commentators commend kickers who have come off the bench and pulled that off. Its not easy. If Steve B continues to substitute players with no clear reason then he is going to get criticised.


On paper I thought England would beat NZ if they played to their potential and didn't show NZ too much respect. Okay, the off the ball tackles certainly stopped England scoring tries, but I would have liked to see more smashing over gainlines and less kicking for position. Yes, I also know it's the Springbok endorsed world cup double winning formula but the Kiwi defence isn't the Bok defence, is it. If you have the power to put Smith on the front foot then why muzzle him? I guess what I'm saying is back, yourself. Why give the momentum to a team like NZ? Why feed the beast? Don't give the ball to NZ. Well d'uh.


Our scrum is a long term weakness. If you are going to play Itoje then he needs an ogre next door and a decent front row. Where is our third world class lock? Where are are realible front row bench replacements? The England scrum has been flakey for a while now. It blows hot and cold. Our front five bench is not world class.


On the positive side I love our starting backrow right now. I'd like to see them stick together through to the next world cup.


Anyway, there is always another Saturday.

7 Go to comments
C
CO 2 hours ago
Scott Robertson responds to criticism over All Blacks' handling errors

Robertson is more a manager of coaches than a coach so it comes down to intent of outcomes at a high level. I like his intent, I like the fact his Allblacks are really driving the outcomes however as he's pointed out the high error rates are not test level and their control of the game is driving both wins and losses. England didn't have to play a lot of rugby, they made far fewer mistakes and were extremely unlucky not to win.


In fact the English team were very early in their season and should've been comfortably beaten by an Allblacks team that had played multiple tests together.


Razor has himself recognised that to be the best they'll have to sort out the crisis levels of mistakes that have really increased since the first two tests against England.


Early tackles were a classic example of hyper enthusiasm to not give an inch, that passion that Razor has achieved is going to be formidable once the unforced errors are eliminated.


That's his secret, he's already rebuilt the passion and that's the most important aspect, its inevitable that he'll now eradicate the unforced errors. When that happens a fellow tier one nation is going to get thrashed. I don't think it will be until 2025 though.


The Allblacks will lose both tests against Ireland and France if they play high error rates rugby like they did against England.


To get the unforced errors under control he's going to be needing to handover the number eight role to Sititi and reset expectations of what loose forwards do. Establish a clear distinction with a large, swarthy lineout jumper at six that is a feared runner and dominant tackler and a turnover specialist at seven that is abrasive in contact. He'll then need to build depth behind the three starters and ruthlessly select for that group to be peaking in 2027 in hit Australian conditions on firm, dry grounds.


It's going to help him that Savea is shifting to the worst super rugby franchise where he's going to struggle behind a beaten pack every week.


The under performing loose forward trio is the key driver of the high error rates and unacceptable turn overs due to awol link work. Sititi is looking like he's superman compared to his openside and eight.


At this late stage in the season they shouldn't be operating with just the one outstanding loose forward out of four selected for the English test. That's an abject failure but I think Robertson's sacrificing link quality on purpose to build passion amongst the junior Allblacks as they see the reverential treatment the old warhorses are receiving for their long term hard graft.


It's unfortunately losing test matches and making what should be comfortable wins into nail biters but it's early in the world cup cycle so perhaps it's a sacrifice worth making.


However if this was F1 then Sam Cane would be Riccardo and Ardie would be heading into Perez territory so the loose forwards desperately need revitalisation through a rebuild over the next season to complement the formidable tight five.

28 Go to comments
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