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This might be the All Blacks' greatest knockout win of all-time and that's the danger

Will Jordan and Aaron Smith of New Zealand react after winning the Rugby World Cup France 2023 Quarter Final match between Ireland and New Zealand at Stade de France on October 14, 2023 in Paris, France. (Photo by Aurelien Meunier/Getty Images)

The All Blacks 28-24 win over Ireland in the quarter-final was a pulsating, titanic battle between two contenders that came down to one inch as Jordie Barrett held up hooker Ronan Kelleher detaching from the Irish maul.

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That one play with nine minute remaining is massively responsible for sending the world’s number one side out of the Rugby World Cup. It wasn’t the last play, which was Sam Whitelock’s steal after 37 phases of Irish attack, but it was the most important.

Decided by one inch, Barrett’s heroic tackle signifies the closeness of the battle and the fine margins that it came down to.

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To suggest Ireland choked is an inaccurate assessment of what happened. They countered twice from 13-0 down and 18-10 to take the fight to the end. Going within one point multiple times.

If not for Barrett’s effort they would have taken the lead 29-28 with the kick to come and about six minutes to play.

Ireland did not choke and it doesn’t matter that they couldn’t shake the quarter-final exit tag either.

There is no moral victory in semi-final or final losses for either of these two sides, who were both genuine contenders for the Rugby World Cup. Success for both was win it all or go home with nothing.

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Ireland had a side capable of winning it all and won’t. If the All Blacks lose either the semi or final, their campaign will be a failure as well.

This was a great contest between the powers of the game for a quarter-final for the ages.

Ruck Speed

0-3 secs
59%
40%
3-6 secs
31%
45%
6+ secs
5%
12%
129
Rucks Won
94

When Leicester Fainga’anuku crossed for the first try after linking up with Rieko Ioane and Jordie Barrett, it symbolised just how far the All Blacks backline has come since the ill-fated Ireland series.

Fainga’anuku debuted in that series and after the second Test he was dropped completely. Without him on the field in the third Test everything was out of sorts.

In that series Rieko Ioane and Jordie Barrett, then playing fullback, had no ability to link and create space from static ball.

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After Beauden Barrett had recovered a chip in behind Ireland’s line in the 18th minute, the All Blacks played their classic brand of free-form attack. Just play to the edge quickly, make quick decisions and attack the space.

Jordie Barrett held the outside space to free Fainganuku, who combined with Ioane from a 1-2 touch with a genius pass back inside to his winger to crash over and extend the lead to 13-0.

Just over twelve months ago these same combinations could not produce anything like that. Not for lack of talent or ability but for no shared understanding, trust or chemsitry.

Ioane continued to show his growth as a 13 with another deft assist for Ardie Savea to score in the corner just before half-time.

Points Flow Chart

New Zealand win +4
Time in lead
0
Mins in lead
77
0%
% Of Game In Lead
93%
72%
Possession Last 10 min
28%
0
Points Last 10 min
0

The Rieko Ioane move to the midfield has been one of Ian Foster’s biggest investments and calls of faith during his tenure. He has believed in Ioane all the way and stuck through the growing pains.

Ioane’s game improved out of sight down the stretch in 2022 after Joe Schmidt joined the coaching set-up and he repaid Foster’s faith with two try assists against statistically the best defence in world rugby in 2023.

Richie Mo’unga, who did not start during last year’s Ireland series, has been integral to rebuilding the All Blacks backline too. His best showings in a black jersey have come along with Schmidt’s arrival.

He ripped Ireland for a gut-punch of a play in the 52nd minute to blow open the game from a lineout. As he has so often done for the Crusaders, he ghosted through Dan Sheehan and Josh van der Flier with an inside show-and-go.

Blazing through the Irish backfield defence he manoeuvred perfectly to ensure that James Lowe couldn’t cover enough ground on Will Jordan, the perfect player to find in support to finish off the strike.

It was a game of big plays and the All Blacks made just enough to beat Ireland despite suffering two yellow cards.

Mack Hansen’s cross-field kick bounced too high for Dan Sheehan on the wing with an open line begging. Both sides had red zone visits erased by big breakdown penalties, Ardie Savea and Sam Cane combined to snub an Irish one out. Johnny Sexton missed a key penalty which cost Ireland dearly.

The biggest play of them all was Jordie Barrett’s miraculous tackle to hold up hooker Ronan Kelleher diving over the line after he detached from the maul.

The context of this win might be the greatest All Blacks’ World Cup knockout win of all-time. Outside of World Cup finals, it has a strong case.

They haven’t had to beat the world’s number one team before due to always holding that tag themselves. Given the recent history between these two rivals and the historic series loss at home, they were rightly priced as underdogs.

To defend for 37 phases without conceding a penalty in this day and age is a nearly implausible. But that’s what it took to deny a quality Irish side of progressing.

The biggest danger for the All Blacks is next. Plenty of teams have emptied the tank in underdog knockout victories only to have their euphoric state smashed to bits the next week.

In 2019 it was England, in 2007 it was France.

Although the All Blacks will be hot favourites to dispatch Argentina, do not forget that Los Pumas beat Foster’s side last year. Or that they handed them a first ever defeat in 2020.

The curse of this game is that it was a final before the final. When teams play their final before the final, we know what can happen. It is hard to get up again after investing so much emotion into it. Even more so the All Blacks had revenge in mind so the intensity of the preparation is heightened.

Most people die on Mt Everest on the way down, not climbing up. Aaron Smith crying his eyes out at full-time will be exactly what Argentina want to see.

David Kidwell’s defence has stuffed this All Blacks side twice before and a third time next week would be most untimely.

But for now this one can be added high on the list on the All Blacks’ World Cup legacy.

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Comments

66 Comments
G
GrahamVF 388 days ago

Yes Ben. And it might well be their last knock out win as well.

E
Euan 401 days ago

Is this writer the ex All Black?

T
Tommaso 401 days ago

For anyone reading the comments, do yourself a favour and go and read the last 15 articles by this guy. Clearly he doesn’t have a single clue what’s going on. Stick to investment banking chap, I can only hope you know what’s going on there 👍🏼

B
Brett 402 days ago

A few weeks ago Mr Ben Smith tweeted that neither NZ nor SA deserve to win the RWC - “we need to bring back integrity to the title of World Champs”.

Another bonehead like comment - what egg on his face today!

NZ and SA are historically the best two teams ever, they have 6 rugby world cups between them.

Mr Smith, form is temporary, class, experience and BMT matter most under knockout rugby.

What a final it should be (NZ and SA still need to beat Eng and Arg to get there) if we see these giants play in the final.

Mr Smith, your immature, arrogant, conceited and pathetic comments make you look the fool.

Do better

B
B.J. Spratt 402 days ago

When you kick for the corner and the rolling maul and expect a try as opposed to a kick for goal the odds of scoring a try is 2/7 or 28%

Sexton kicking stats 76% Dhuuuuur

.

B
B.J. Spratt 402 days ago

All Blacks need some “Adrenalin” this week in their build up to Argentina. After a “Huge” shot during Irish game, the body will be “craving” Just like an addict. Sometimes seen as “feeling a bit flat”
after a huge effort and those great feelings of euphoria.
Must be treated as a team and not as an individual.
This phenomenon has been the downfall of so many top Sport’s Teams.
I gave them no show before the Ireland, now we would have to be a real contender. Who would have thought? Amazing and hopefully
they will “Destroy Argentina” as a build up to the final.

W
Warner 402 days ago

I note coach Farrell and capt Sexton struggled to say All Blacks or NZ at their press conferance , in fact very similar to Simon Middleton and Sarah Hunters press conferance when they lost RWCW and a 30 game winning streak to Blackferns arrogance must be a Northern Hemisphere thing.
By contrast i watched coach Foster mingle and shakehands with everyone on the field and at the press conferance he along with captain Cane praised the Irish for a hard fought game to the end.
Ireland along with Rugbypass and other media outlets played the game in the press while Fosters men trained well stayed away from all the hype and dramas , which showed in game day.
Johnny Sexton was usless his best moment was when he tried to milk another yellow card but failed.
Farrell like father like son .
Ireland got whar they deserved a big wake up call.

M
M 403 days ago

If kiwis lose, we always back the boks!

M
M 403 days ago

Nice article! Don't forget though, nz have revenge in mind against sa, and for that quarter final against France. It will be tough to put in such a great performance 3 weeks in a row, it will be the greatest Nz world cup if we can.

G
G 403 days ago

Very true Ben - today leave this game behind and start from zero towards Argentina

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JW 3 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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