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Three things England must do to ambush Ireland in Dublin

(Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)

So erratic have England continued to be under new head coach Steve Borthwick, they are poised to sign off against Ireland on yet another underwhelming Guinness Six Nations campaign with more losses than wins. That became a dubious trait under the previous incumbent Eddie Jones. The Australian may have won three titles, two in his first two years in charge, but his long reign was also pockmarked by three damaging two-wins-from-five efforts in the last five seasons.

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Borthwick now faces England making that a fourth two-wins-from-five in six seasons unless they can cause what would be considered one of the greatest Six Nations upsets ever.

Ireland, the No1 ranked side in the world and a team that has won 21 of its last 23 matches, are gunning for the Grand Slam at their Dublin home against an England team licking its gaping wounds following last Saturday’s humiliating record 53-10 home loss to France.

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It seems like a mission impossible for Borthwick and co but here are some areas they should focus on in their bid to ambush Ireland and spoil the St Patrick’s weekend title-clinching party:

Being nuisance scrum again
Borthwick has named an England team with just six of the same starters from last March’s fixture between the two teams. Three of the repeat picks, though, consist of the entire front row of Ellis Genge, Jamie George and Kyle Sinckler and they will surely be confident of making a dent to the Irish scrum.

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A year ago, with Frenchman Mathieu Raynal in charge, the penalty count at the set-piece was six-one in favour of the English, a momentum that infuriated Ireland. They claimed the following week that “the referee has come back and said a few decisions went against us when they shouldn’t have”. England were raging, too, Jones suggesting his pack was insufficiently rewarded as no Irish prop was yellow-carded.

“We want to have a powerful scrum and if World Rugby want to have the scrum in the game, they have got to allow the strong scrums to dominate. We are disappointed we didn’t get more out of that,” bemoaned Jones at the time.

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South African Jaco Peyper is this Saturday’s referee and both teams come into it with a 2023 championship record of conceding just three penalties each at the scrum. That suggests Irish stability but England need to get stuck in ASAP to see if they can get the official on their side and frustrate the Andy Farrell scrum just as they did a year ago.

Carrying with greater purpose
Borthwick has painted a picture that France and Ireland, the world’s number two and number one teams, rely heavily on kicking but the curious reality is that England have kicked more in this tournament, 4,117 metres to 4,115 by the French and just 3,782 by the Irish.

Kicking, of course, is a very important part of the game but ball-carrying must surely be a priority if England really are to aggravate the Ireland defence. For instance, it would be so exciting to see Henry Arundell regularly going full tilt out wide, but the return of Manu Tuilagi in the midfield appears timely.

The powerhouse has a W6 L0 record against the Irish and was heavily involved in repeatedly punching the holes that secured the 32-20 win in Dublin that essentially irrevocably fractured the 2019 Joe Schmidt team.

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Alex Dombrandt was credited with 44 metres from seven carries last week, but that involvement came long after the French back row had established dominance and were a long way down the track to securing their record-breaking result. The struggling No8 needs to perform like never before at Test level, while his team in general needs to better look after whatever ball they do get.

A statistical eyesore is England registering 21 knock-ons in championship 2023, flagrancy in contrast to just eight Ireland fumbles. England must also protect their lineout as the Irish have stolen six throws in recent weeks, while they must also guard against the offload, a skill that Ireland is much improved at given their tally of 27 this term compared to 11 in 2022.

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The 16 miserable seconds stat
There has been plenty of fighting talk this week from England amid the gloom of last Saturday’s brutal battering at the hands of the French. Loosehead Genge guaranteed the English would “come out swinging” and that “there is definitely some dog in this team”, a narrative added to by Borthwick at his Thursday night media briefing in Dublin with his reference to “forthright conversations”.

Thing is, they only need to look to last year’s game versus Ireland to see the blueprint for defiance against the odds. Despite losing Charlie Ewels to a red card after just 82 seconds, England were level at 15-all with just 10 minutes remaining before a late power surge sealed the 32-15 Irish triumph.

Where England struggled to better reward that defiance was a brutal inability to secure territory and apply pressure. They spent only a miserable 16 seconds in the Irish 22, relying instead on five Marcus Smith kicks for their points. The moral of that story is they need to stress the Irish defence where it most hurts – as close as possible to the try line.

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J
JW 3 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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