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Clearly the unluckiest player to miss out on England – Andy Goode

Jamie George (L) of England stands alongside team mates during the national anthem during the International Test Match between New Zealand All Blacks and England at Eden Park on July 13, 2024 in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)

There may have been some unwanted upheaval behind the scenes but Steve Borthwick’s squad selection for the Autumn Nations Series shows there is continuity on the field.

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Tom Willis is clearly the unluckiest to miss out, having made the most carries (76) and beaten the most defenders (27) in the Premiership this season, but we know league form isn’t always recognised at international level.

We’ve had the Zach Mercer debate for a number of years and the Gloucester man remains in decent form but the Saracens number eight only has to talk to team-mate Ben Earl about how hard it is to break into the England back row equation.

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Earl has started the last 12 Tests at number eight but he hadn’t started a single game for his country 14 months ago despite tearing it up consistently in the Premiership and sometimes the balance of the back row counts against that type of back rower.

Tom WIllis
Tom Willis/ PA

Willis couldn’t have done any more and if you were picking purely on form, he would be starting at the back of the scrum. Alex Dombrandt has been missing since the opening round through injury and is fortunate to be included ahead of him but has credit in the bank.

If you ask fans to pick an England starting XV, then most would have Chandler Cunningham-South at blindside. Hopefully he does get plenty of gametime in the coming weeks but I think we’re likely to see Ollie Chessum picked there ahead of him.

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Borthwick favours that almost additional second row in the number six jersey and for that reason I’m surprised Ted Hill isn’t in the squad. He’s a big unit, has stolen the second most lineouts in the Premiership this season and filled in at second row last week too.

In the backs, you could certainly make a case for the likes of Gabriel Ibitoye or Lennox Anyanwu to be in there on form but there are only so many places and I’m not sure who would drop out.

I think Borthwick will be doing everything he can to get Henry Slade fit to face the All Blacks in a couple of weeks’ time but if he isn’t, I’d be going for Alex Lozowski to fill his boots as he’s in a similar mould and has been ripping it up for Saracens.

Steve Borthwick England Autumn Nations Series squad
Alex Lozowski is hunting a first England cap in six years (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)
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Tommy Freeman is probably the next best option to fill in at outside centre given he’s starting there for Northampton this weekend and played a bit there last season, with Luke Northmore and Elliot Daly the other alternatives.

George Ford has been named as an extra man as he continues his rehab from a quad injury but I think England need to move forward with Marcus Smith as the main man anyway and Fin Smith as back-up.

The Harlequins fly half was due to be the starter ahead of the 2024 Six Nations before getting injured and he had the shirt in the summer against the All Blacks and Japan so Ford’s experience is clearly valuable but I don’t think he’d be starting anyway.

Alex Mitchell will be a big miss in the halfbacks because of the tempo he brings and it’s a real shame he’s picked up an injury because he’s nailed down that number nine jersey after years of Ben Youngs and Danny Care dominating.

The return of Jack van Poortvliet is a bonus in that department but Ben Spencer might be the one to grab the jersey by the scruff of the neck now after putting in stellar displays for Bath week in, week out in recent years.

Ben Spencer
(Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

It is a concern that the likes of Slade, Tom Curry, Sam Underhill and a few others haven’t got much rugby under their belts. You can’t have too many starting against New Zealand who have barely played but a couple of big, established stars might be ok to do so.

I am surprised there aren’t just a couple more younger faces included just to give them a bit of exposure, whilst not being involved in the match day 23, but the evolution of the squad is something Borthwick is going to have to address again in the next 12 months.

Skipper Jamie George turns 34 before the start of the Autumn Nations Series, Dan Cole is already 37 and Joe Marler and Elliot Daly aren’t likely to make it through to another World Cup. That doesn’t mean they should be jettisoned now but when is the time going to be right?

Luke Cowan-Dickie has been brought back at hooker rather than opting for Gabriel Oghre, who got the nod in the summer, so this is a squad for right now rather than planning for the future and England do have an opportunity to lay down a marker next month.

They came close to winning a Test in New Zealand in July but ultimately the tour ended in disappointment. England haven’t beaten the All Blacks at Twickenham for over a decade since 2012 and I don’t think there’s ever been a better chance for them to do so.

That might sound disrespectful to a team that just beat England 2-0 in a series but it’s more of a reflection on how strong visiting New Zealand sides have been in the past and there’s no doubt this is a rebuilding phase for the All Blacks.

England don’t face New Zealand at Twickenham very often, for financial reasons as much as any other to be blunt, and that victory back in 2012 was a real surprise. Prior to that, 2002 was England’s last win over the All Blacks on home turf and we know what that team went on to achieve.

All Blacks
New Zealand’s Beauden Barrett (L) and TJ Perenara look to the big screen during the Rugby Championship match between New Zealand and Argentina at Sky Stadium in Wellington on August 10, 2024. (Photo by Grant Down / AFP) (Photo by GRANT DOWN/AFP via Getty Images)

The game on November 2 is the key fixture for England too, not only because it’s the first one and will set the tone but because an autumn of two wins and two defeats would be a significant disappointment.

Coming away with just one victory would be catastrophic so defeat to New Zealand would put a fair bit of pressure on the game against Joe Schmidt’s Wallabies a week later, with the World Champion Springboks and Japan to come thereafter.

It does look like Borthwick has been forced to look at himself after Aled Walters and Felix Jones have opted to leave the England setup and he is doing that so it’ll be interesting to see if there are any noticeable changes with Dan Tobin and Joe El Abd coming in and Richard Wigglesworth taking on a more senior role.

Ultimately, that will get brought up if England struggle and be forgotten about to a certain extent if it’s a successful autumn campaign. The squad selection shows the continuity Borthwick is after and it’s certainly one capable of winning at least three games next month.

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2 Comments
M
Mike 89 days ago

Nothing against the guy and clearly a very good player for Quins, but what “credit in the bank” does Alex Dombrandt have for England? Tom Willis fills a “ball carrier in the tight exchanges” shaped hole in the England pack, and Alex D has never quite got it done in an England shirt. I get that some continuity in selection is needed, but given that Alex D would probably be unlikely in the match day squad, I don’t see the downside to give a younger player who has been in (arguably) better form some exposure.

P
PE 90 days ago

@AndyGoode Big Jim will have a good laugh at this headline. Unluckiest player to miss out on England - Andy Goode. I know you can probably still pass, kick and tackle but what about the running. Also, how many passes, kicks or tackles could you manage? We would be worried that the medical staff would end up working overtime! Maybe we can find a different role for you?

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J
JW 24 minutes ago
Six former All Blacks eligible for new nations in 2025

What do you mean should?


Are you asking these questions because you think they are important reasons a player should decide to represent a country?


I think that is back the front. They are good reasons why someone 'would' be able to choose Fiji (say in the case of Mo'unga's cousin who the Drua brought into their environment), but not reason's why they "should". Those need to be far more personal imo.


If you think it was me suggesting he "should" play for Fiji, I certainly wasn't suggesting that. I was merely suggesting he would/could because ther'ye very close to his heart with his dad having represented them.


I did go on to say the right sort of environment should be created to encourage them to want to represent Fiji (as with case of their european stars it's always a fine balance between wanting to play for them and other factors (like compared with personal develop at their club). but that is also not trying to suggest those players should want to play for Fiji simply because you make the prospect better, you're simply allowing for it to happen.


TLDR I actually sent you to the wrong post, I was thinking more about my reply to HU's sentiments with yours. Instead of running you around I'll just paste it in

What's wrong with that? Hoskins Sotutu could be selected for the Maori All Blacks, then go on latter and move to England and represent them, then once his career in England (no longer at that standard) is over move to Japan and finish his career playing for Fiji. Why should he not be able to represent any or all of those teams?

Actually I can't remember if it was that message or whether it indeed was my hypothetical Fiji example that I wanted to suggest would improve the International game, not cheapen it.


I suppose I have to try and explain that idea further now. So you say it cheapens the game. They game is already "cheap" when a nation like Fiji is only really allowed to get their full team going in a WC year. Or even it's the players themselves only caring about showing up in a WC year. To me this is a problem because a Fiji campaign/season isn't comparable to their competitors (in a situation where they're say ranked in the top 8. Take last year for instance. Many stars were absent of the Pacific Nations Cup, for whatever reason, but hey, when their team is touring a big EU nation like England or Ireland, wow suddenly theyre a high profile team again and they get the stars back.


Great right? No. Having those players come back was probably detrimental to the teams performance. My idea of having Sotutu and Bower encouraged (directly or indirectly) to play for Fiji is merely as a means to an end, to give the Flying Fijians the profile to both enrich and more accurately reflect the international game. You didn't really state what you dislike but it's easy to guess, and yes, this idea does utilize that aspect which does devalue the game in other cases, so I wanted to see if this picture would change that in this example (just and idea I was throwing out their, like I also said in my post, I don't actually think Sotutu or any of these players are going anywhere, even Ioane might still be hopeful of being slected).


The idea again, raise the visibility on the PNC so that can stand as a valued tournament on it's own and not require basic funded by WR to continue, but not enough to involve all the best players (even Japan treated it as a chance to play it's amatuers). Do this by hosting the PI island pool in places like Melbourne every other year, include some very high profile and influential team in it like an All Black team, and yes, by the nations getting together and creating ways to increase it's popularity by say asking individuals like Sotutu and Bower to strength it's marketability, with the hopeful follow on affect that stars like Botia and Radradra always want to (and can) represent their country. With Fiji as the example, but do it with Samoa and Tonga as well. They will need NZ and Aus (Japan) assistance to make a reality imo.


I don't believe this cheapens the game, I believe it makes it more valued as you're giving players the choice of who they chose to play for rather than basing it off money. Sotutu would never have forgone his paycheck to play for Fiji instead of NZ at the beginning, so you should viewed his current choice as 'cheap'

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Six former All Blacks eligible for new nations in 2025

What's wrong with that? Hoskins Sotutu could be selected for the Maori All Blacks, then go on latter and move to England and represent them, then once his career in England (no longer at that standard) is over move to Japan and finish his career playing for Fiji. Why should he not be able to represent any or all of those teams?

just playing for a pro-club a few years is no valid reason in my opinion

Ah, yes, you just have the wrong end of the stick. This has nothing to do with club footy (and can't really happen anymore), for example if the countries involved allowed it, Hoskins could represent all his national teams while playing for say, Moana Pacifika (a team unrelated to any nation). He is playing for countries because they mean something to him, ie like Ardiea Savea's decision, they just want to contribute something to their Island heritage. It's not like Fiji are going to ring the worlds best number 8 by that point in his career.


I do understand where you're coming from though (as what you're thinking was the case a while ago), but the world is changing more. Take this Sotutu England situation, this is becoming less and less likely from happening (at least in this example anyway), as the England Rugby union is not more in charge of payments and not seen as just icing on the cake to a massive club deal (that's how the English game got itself broke in the first place), and nations like Ireland have stated they are no longer going to look offshore etc. So the landscape is improving slowly.


This is all hypothetical remember. Sotutu is most likely to become a key All Black this year as he's the perfect foil a team with tyro's like Sititi, Lakai, Savea is going to need.

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