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Unwanted Wallabies prospect shows Eddie Jones what he's missing

Chance Peni of Hino Red Dolphins is tackled by Samson Tua of NTT DoCoMo Red Hurricanes during the Top League match between Hino Red Dolphins and NTT DoCoMo Red Hurricanes at Hanazono Rugby Stadium on March 28, 2021 in Higashiosaka, Osaka, Japan. (Photo by Buddhika Weerasinghe/Getty Images)

He might not have achieved the desired result, but former Super Rugby player Chance Peni continues to show in Japan Rugby League One (JRLO) what the Wallabies have missed out on.

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He scored his 11th try in six appearances during the Hino Red Dolphins’ 41-26 loss to the Urayasu D-Rocks.

While Israel Folau was a late withdrawal on Saturday after having been named to play, the second division leaders still fielded an imposing combination which included former Scotland international Greig Laidlaw.

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Ex-Wallaby flanker Liam Gill also featured for D-Rocks, enjoying a mixed day which included both a try and a yellow card.

Yet despite their heavyweight line-up, the D-Rocks still couldn’t contain the former Melbourne Storm age-grade representative, whose fifth try of the season helped to close Hino to within eight points before the unbeaten Urayasu dominated the final 20 minutes.

Born in southern New Zealand, before spending part of his upbringing on the remote C hatham Islands, 800km east of Christchurch, Peni played for the Western Force and Brumbies before making his way to Japan.

The 29-year-old scored nine tries in seven appearances last season, finishing with hat-tricks in each of the last two games, and then started 2023 the same way, with the third treble of his JRLO career.

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Saturday’s try was Peni’s 14th from 11 games, representing a great piece of transfer business by his club.

It is a strike-rate even Folau, who has scored 15 from 17 games since moving to Japan, can’t match.

D-Rocks are the only unbeaten side left in Division Two, while Marika Koroibete’s Saitama Panasonic Wild Knights, and Bernard Foley’s Kubota Spears Funabashi Tokyo-Bay, remain undefeated in the top section.

Koroibete scored his third try of the season to help Saitama overpower the Ricoh Black Rams 38-17, while Foley kicked 10 points as the Spears narrowly held off Kobe 25-21.

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Wallabies halfback Nick Phipps and his Springboks counterpart Faf de Klerk were both try-sco rers as Yokohama Canon Eagles beat the NEC Green Rockets 36-12.

The game also saw Canon’s Tongan-born Japanese representative Amanaki Lelei Mafi, who played two seasons for the Melbourne Rebels in 2017 and 2018, score a first-half hat-trick.

Phipps scored the second of the Green Rockets’ tries, but Michael Cheika’s side were held scoreless after halftime for the second week in a row.

Will Genia’s Hanazono Kintetsu Liners, who had conceded 151 points in the previous two weeks, put up more of a fight against Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath before falling away in the second half to lose 51-10.

Sunday’s other matches in the top division were officiated by Australian referees at the invitation of the Japanese Rugby Union, with Nic Berry taking the whistle as Toshiba Brave Lupus Tokyo thumped Toyota Verblitz 63-25, while Angus Gardiner oversaw the Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Sagamihara Dynaboars’ 27-all draw with the Shizuoka Blue Revs.

Elsewhere in Division Two , Wallabies fullback Tom Banks’s Mie Honda Heat scored two tries in the last seven minutes to beat bottom side Shimizu Corporation Koto Blue Sharks 29-10.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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