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'Pivac and Byron will be out within a year' - Welsh rugby insider predicts early change at top

Wales boss Wayne Pivac. (Getty)

It’s been a tough weekend for Wales head coach Wayne Pivac and his coaching ticket, and one Welsh rugby insider is predicting the New Zealander will be out of a job within a year.

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Wales fell to a fifth straight on Saturday, losing to against Scotland in Llanelli, the first time the men in blue have beaten their hosts on Welsh soil in 18 years. The result has heaped further pressure on Pivac and his backroom staff, who has the unenviable task of taking over from the coaching icon that was Warren Gatland.

After the game Pivac implied regime change would take time, although he refused to lay the blame for the Scotland loss on that particular factor: “There are fine margins, and we realise that. Certainly, at the moment, we are not playing consistently well over the 80 minutes. There has been change in personnel and the way we want to do things. We know that takes a bit of time.”

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Pivac faces the press after the Scotland loss:

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Pivac faces the press after the Scotland loss:

Now London Welsh head coach and former Ospreys prop Cai Griffiths has openly predicted that Pivac and his defence coach – Byron Hayward – won’t last 12 months, despite a contract with three years to run on it.

“Pivac and Byron will be out within a year,” tweeted Griffiths over the weekend. “I’m not calling him out just what I’m seeing and hearing.”

When questioned as to what his opinion was on Pivac’s appointment, he tweeted: “Totally wrong appointment. No track history. 1 off Pro 14 title means nothing.”

He went on to suggest that Pivac didn’t have the luxury of bedding into the job and should be given time to change the style of the team, posting: “No because he’s not an international coach.”

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Griffiths isn’t the first person to criticise Pivac, whose Welsh charges haven’t won a game since a thumping Italy 42 – 0 in February. Over the weekend Welsh media piled on to the coach and his team for their tepid performance against Scotland, where they barely got a shot off order than a Rhys Carre try.

It won’t be getting any easier either, as they travel to Dublin to take on Ireland in the Autumn Nations Cup in the Aviva Stadium on November 13th. If Wales fail to register a win over Andy Farrell’s men, Pivac will at least have the comfort of the much more manageable task of Georgia in Llanelli on November 21st. A win over Georgia won’t do much to curry favour with the Welsh public, but a win the following weekend over Guinness Six Nations champions England certainly would.

The prospect of just two wins – over Italy and Georgia respectively – in a calendar year might be more than the Welsh rugby could bear, even if it is 2020 with all that that entails.

 

 

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fl 8 hours ago
What is the future of rugby in 2025?

Smith generally isn't well connected to his forward pods; doesn't do a great job of distributing to those around him; and has inferior positional and contestable kicking games than Ford and Fin.


When England have had success over the past few years, its been either through (i) defensive rugby backed up with smart tactical kicking or (ii) high possession attacking phase play based on quick ruck ball. George Ford was key to the implementation of (i) in the RWC, and in the 6N win over Wales, and to the implementation of (ii) in the 6N games against Ireland and France. Smith did great at (ii) when running at tired defenders at the end of the Ireland match, but has never successfully implemented that gameplan from the start of a test because he doesn't distribute or support his forwards enough to create consistent fast ball and build attacks over multiple phases. Instead, his introduction to the starting side has resulted in much more playmaking responsibilities being forced onto whoever plays 9. Alex Mitchell copes ok with that, but I think he looks better with a more involved playmaking 10 outside him, and it really isn't a gameplan that works for JVP or Spencer. As a result of that the outside backs and centres have barely touched the ball when Smith has been at 10.


This might not have been too much of a disaster, as England have seemed to be moving slightly towards the sort of attacking gameplan that France played under Labit and Quins play (I think this was especially their approach when they won the league a few years ago - but its still a part of their play now), which is based on kicking to create broken field rugby. This is (i) a sharp departure from the gameplans that have worked for England in the past few seasons; (ii) bears very little relation to the tactical approaches of the non-Quins players in the England team; and (iii) is an absolute disaster for the blitz defence, which is weak in transition. Unsurprisingly, it has coincided with a sharp decline in England's results.

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