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Wallabies' World Cup chances hinge on imminent Giteau Law changes

(Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

How Rugby Australia tweaks the Giteau Law will shape the Wallabies’ path to the 2023 World Cup after a yo-yoing test season offered a peek over both sides of the fence.

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Dave Rennie’s side finished a 14-test campaign with seven victories, with an impressive Rugby Championship the meat in a sandwich of Bledisloe Cup and Spring Tour pain.

Record losses to New Zealand and the first winless spring tour of Europe since 1976 don’t make for good reading.

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But the fine print shows an unprecedented COVID-19 bubble existence and the fact only three players were present in the 15 that started in both the first and last test.

Hunter Paisami was one of those, but missed a large enough chunk in between for his replacement Samu Kerevi to earn a world player-of-the-year nomination.

The barnstorming inside centre was a shock recall to the test fold alongside fellow overseas-based talents Sean McMahon, Quade Cooper, Tolu Latu, Will Skelton, Rory Arnold and Kurtley Beale.

Cooper and Kerevi’s partnership in particular reaped rewards, back-to-back wins over South Africa the highlight as Australia shot from seventh to third in the world rankings.

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They were gone as quickly as they arrived, though, a messy few days of club-versus-country conversations ending in the pair and McMahon remaining in Japan.

Their absences in the United Kingdom upset the squad balance and left Rennie scrambling, with an unlucky loss to Wales a frustrating finale that led to the Wallabies sliding back to No 5.

Of that overseas group, only Beale and Cooper are able to play again under current eligibility rules, the 60-test or seven-year service cap colloquially known as the Giteau Law was relaxed due to COVID-19 and now set for review ahead of next year’s home series against England.

Their time in Wallaby gold revealed both sides of the coin – and summed up the season in general – as Rugby Australia mull over how to permanently alter their selection policy and provide Rennie the structure needed to truly formulate his World Cup assault.

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“It was a real rollercoaster; wasn’t brilliant against New Zealand, the next five, six matches were really positive and then the tour was far more difficult than I thought everyone thought,” two-time World Cup winner Phil Kerns told AAP.

“They’ve got to get their act together, but I’d rather be losing now than in two years’ time (at France’s World Cup).

“And there’s no way that our team is anywhere near settled. We’ve seen that through selection, once settled, you’ll find some real improvement.”

Rugby Australia CEO Andy Marinos said the end-of-year review, to be held once Rennie returns from England where he’ll coach the Barbarians this weekend, would ideally help settle on a permanent selection structure that wouldn’t change in a World Cup year.

And he said a 2025 British & Irish Lions tour of Australia to follow the next World Cup would encourage players to remain or return to Super Rugby, rather than rely on an eligibility tweak to qualify.

“It’s attracted quite a lot of attention … we’d like to get as much consistency as we can,” he said of the Giteau Law.

“We saw it this year when we started winning … players want to play where they’re going to get silverware, grow and develop.”

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J
JW 6 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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