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What Tuesday's exit means for Warren Gatland's legacy in Wales

By PA
Wales boss Warren Gatland reacts during last November's warm-up versus South Africa (Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

Warren Gatland is the most successful head coach in Wales’ international rugby history. That cannot be doubted, with his record showing four Six Nations titles and three Grand Slams, plus two Rugby World Cup semi-final appearances and a brief occupation of number one spot in the world rankings.

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Such giddy achievements, though, tell only part of the Gatland story. There is a chapter two. After Wales suffered a humiliating home defeat against Georgia in November 2022, it spelt the end of Wayne Pivac’s coaching reign.

Pivac had succeeded his fellow New Zealander Gatland after the 2019 World Cup, a stint that was highlighted by a Six Nations crown in 2021 and historic first victory over the Springboks in South Africa.

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      But Georgia’s stunning Cardiff triumph meant there could be no way back for Pivac and Gatland soon returned, installed by the Welsh Rugby Union for a second stint that would begin with the 2023 Six Nations.

      Could he revive Wales? Could he deliver the sustained success of the first time around? Could he once again inspire Wales to punch way above their weight? Unfortunately, the answer has been an emphatic no, with Wales winning just six out of 26 Test matches that includes an ongoing record run of 14 successive Test defeats.

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      His success rate of under 25 per cent was less than half of what he produced between 2008 and 2019 and Wales completed a calendar year in 2024 without a Test win, which was the first time that happened for 87 years.

      There are mitigating factors, with a number of front-line players – star names such as Alun Wyn Jones, Justin Tipuric, George North, Dan Biggar and Leigh Halfpenny – retiring from Test rugby since Gatland returned, while Louis Rees-Zammit went to the NFL and influential number eight Taulupe Faletau was a long-term injury absentee.

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      Elsewhere, Wales’ four professional regions – Cardiff, Scarlets, Ospreys and Dragons – have often struggled, with none of them qualifying for this season’s blue riband Invested Champions Cup. The WRU have also yet to publish its long-term strategy for the game’s future in Wales against a backdrop of financial struggles, player pathway issues and falling attendances.

      At times, Gatland has appeared battered, almost broken and while he must carry the can in terms of results, Welsh rugby’s deep-rooted problems are not all planted at his door.

      At 61, it could be that Gatland’s international coaching career is over, although that cannot be debated with any degree of certainty given his pedigree, an ability to produce winning teams and a bottomless rugby knowledge few people can match.

      But in terms of Wales, it is the end. Thirteen years across two spells, more than 150 games, several notable victories, some crushing defeats and at times delivering a feel-good factor by the bucketload.

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      Current form and results have screamed from the page, though, as this season’s Guinness Six Nations began with a record defeat in the tournament against France and then a 22-15 loss to Italy, which highlighted just how far Wales have fallen.

      They now stand at an all-time low of 12th in the world rankings, nearer to countries like Belgium and Brazil on points than heavyweights such as South Africa and Ireland.

      Is Gatland’s legacy tarnished? It can be argued both ways but one thing is for sure, Welsh rugby is unlikely to see his like or longevity again.

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      JW 31 minutes ago
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      Really enjoyed the Breakdown for once last weekend, it was a sensible and interesting debate amongst the shared options (probably helped by Beaver taking over from SJK).


      I don’t think Ned does enough justice to the benefits of Kirifi’s low center of gravity in this article, and I’m not just saying that because he’s starting to develop the perfect game for his size. The other aspect in favour of Kirifi is that he’s the one player showing real improvement. All the others, apart from Lakai of course (even Savea despite his best efforts), are going backwards.


      That can obviously be put down to ‘form’ within the very small window at the start of the season where main players typical try to build from, but it’s an important factor that we do need to see improvement in contributions from DP, Jacobsen, and Blackadder before they can seriously be considered. So with that sad, the options right now are actually very narrow (as outlined in the recommendations in this article), but of course we should expect at least 2 of those other 3 to be putting their hands up too.


      There is no Billy Harmon this year, but his replacement is one other player who has good stats this year, and also a lot of extra promise to come, Veveni Lasaqa. He’s having to overtake a couple of last years other stars, Withy and Renton, in terms of the Highlanders mix, to get a starting spot and some minutes under his belt to really show what he’s got, but I think theres much more to see yet. There are of course a bunch of other names worth mentioning, Withy himself not the least amongst them for the future, but Lasaqa is one that I can see taking the comp by storm in the sort of fashion that Sititi did.


      But along the lines of the topic used, I really see Sititi as being a 7 as well. With Savea and Lasaka he has that perfect mix of body strength, still a low center of gravity, but also enough muscle to foot it with sides that have 1.96/110kg flanks. While he has talent to burn, one would also not be wrong to expect a dip in performance, even without that, for the purpose of development and long term planning, I’d expected Wallace to fit the impact role more than the 80min man for the All Blacks this year, and the most likely person I can see him replacing on the regular, is Ardie Savea. So that would likely mean time at 7 or 8.


      While it’s not necessarily the thing I’d do, that could work well with Savea transitioning to the impact role (both because hes likely to need less minutes as he gets older, and because theres hopefully good depth overtaking him), and Wallace to a starting position again. Of course the troublesome position, since Read started to lose form before RWC 19’, is that number 8 spot which Ardie had been asked to fill, and now which he is only really relieved from because of Sititi’s immergence. Wallace to me only answers so many of those questions by being used at 8 because of how exceptionally he played on both sides of the ball last year. So what if there is a drop, or he is just given a different plan than being overplayed by Razor (like he was last year to his detriment)? Well from what I’ve seen this year, Hoskins Sotutu is showing he’s ready to take the jersey back again and make it his. I’m really excited by his impact and intensity in his allround game he’s had a chance to show this year, and I’m confident it’s going to continue/show, even to the point the Blues win this weekend.


      So what does that mean? I can see the best balanced backrow as being Ardie at 7, Sotutu at 8, and Barret at 6, with Sititi on the bench. As a 7 back up I’d currently go with Kirifi, but expect DP, as the starter and, I’d imagine, the number 1 7 before he got injured last year and never came back, to make himself the preferred next goto 7 this year after Ardie (and maybe actually the best specialist 7, but it just not being enough to give him the primary role).

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