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The 'six teams' that Eddie Jones thinks can challenge for World Cup glory

Eddie Jones and Steve Borthwick confer ahead of England's game with Australia in Oita. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images,)

International rugby has never been so competitive and unpredictable.

As rugby fans continue to count down the days until this year’s World Cup, the prospect of what lies ahead is incredibly exciting for the sport.

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For rugby-mad nations including New Zealand, South Africa and Ireland, the pressure and expectation to win has never been so fierce.

There is genuine belief among rugby fans scattered around the world that this is their year; there team has a right to World Cup glory, but it’s up to the players to prove it.

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In practically every tournament since the first time the rugby world united in 1987, the All Blacks have been labelled the favourites – but time and time again, for 24 years, they faltered under the pressure.

Expectation and scrutiny can be a heavy burden to bear.

But over the last four years, new nations have emerged as genuine World Cup contenders, and will have to carry the responsibly of that pressure throughout the highly anticipated World Cup.

According to former England coach Eddie Jones, who is one of the greatest rugby minds in the history of test rugby and World Cups, there are six teams who could bring the Webb Ellis Cup home with them.

“Six teams can win it. Australia have beaten South Africa, drawn with New Zealand and lost to France by one point. So they’re one of the six with England,” Jones told The Guardian.

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“New Zealand and South Africa are ranked third and fourth.

“Ireland and France are the popular teams. They might be slightly ahead but in nine months they might not be and that’s all that counts.

“At most other World Cups New Zealand have been way ahead with a group of teams fighting to play them. Generally, it’s South Africa who have won the World Cup three times. That’s changed now.”

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J
JW 5 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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