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Why England have fallen in the Six Nations since 2020

(Photo by Dan Mullan /Dave Rogers - RFU/The RFU Collection via Getty Images and Michael Steele/Getty Images)

Eddie Jones’ arrival as England head coach in 2016 coincided with the peak years of a golden generation on the rise at Nigel Wray’s ill-fated experiment at Saracens.

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For better or worse, the financial engineering built a superpower of a club of which provided Jones’ side with the backbone of his England side. He had a ready-made champion forward pack to hit the ground running when he started his tenure.

Mako Vunipola, Jamie George, Maro Itoje, Billy Vunipola, George Kruis, Owen Farrell all entered their peak years in 2016, and Saracens were already at the top of the domestic scene.

They had claimed the Premiership title in May 2015, less than six months before England’s World Cup flame-out in September.

Just three out of the starting England XV, 20 percent, were Saracens players against Wales during that World Cup, while against Australia, that number shrunk to two, neither of whom were in the forward pack.

By the time England went on their 2016 summer tour of Australia, Saracens had captured a second straight Premiership title and their first European crown. Selecting the backbone of the Saracens team was a no-brainer and boded well for England.

Against the Wallabies that June, 50 percent of the England pack were now Saracens players. Mako and Billy Vunipola started at prop at No 8, respectively, while Maro Itoje and George Kruis packed down in the second row.

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When Jamie George took over the starting hooker role from Dylan Hartley, that number rose to 62.5 percent of the starting pack.

This had enormous benefits for England. They had been already playing together for years, offering a foundation level of chemistry to work from and had incredible coaching and success under Mark McCall.

They had already proven to be one of the best packs in the Heineken Cup, which proved promising for Six Nations action. They had the power to bully the likes of Ireland and Scotland, and the might to beat France and Wales in a dogfight.

Taking most of your forwards from one successful club isn’t a foolproof strategy, but it does happen frequently with successful test sides.

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Looking at the current Ireland side who finished second behind France, 87.5 percent of the starting pack is from Leinster. Just one starting forward, Tadhg Beirne, doesn’t play for Leinster, but he originally came through that development system.

The 2019 Springboks pack was similarly dominated by one club team, the Stormers.

Starters Bongi Mbonambi, Frans Malherbe, Eben Etzebeth, Siya Kolisi, Pieter-Steph du Toit were all at the Cape Town club at the time, while Duane Vermuelen had played 89 times for the club between 2009-15 .

75 percent of the starting forward pack in the World Cup final were either current or ex-Stormers. On the bench, Steven Kitshoff and Francois Louw were long-tenured Stormers and Western Province products, and Vincent Koch had a two-year stint there.

Any forward pack needs time to perfect deep lineout playbooks, develop collective scrummaging chemistry and understand carrying, passing, cleaning, and running line tendencies.

Playing week-in, week-out at club level certainly helps speed up the process to build a cohesive unit.

Saracens’ success quickly became England’s success as Jones slowly began building his team around this young core in 2016, taking the remaining experienced hands from the 2015 failure and fusing it with the Saracens core over time.

The Vunipola brothers offered power running that steamrolled opposition packs and dented backlines. From short lineout packages, Billy was a force from set-piece lining up in the midfield.

Mako, on the other hand, nearly always netted a positive gain line when carrying in close quarters, and between George, Itoje and Kruis, the lineout ball was reliable.

The platform up front was there consistently for a backline to put it together.

Chief playmaker Owen Farrell resumed a lifelong partnership with George Ford that began in age-grade rugby as a 10-12 axis.

Outside them, athletes like Manu Tuilagi, Anthony Watson, Elliot Daly, Jonathan Joseph, Jack Nowell, Jonny May, Chris Ashton and Henry Slade were interchangeable depending on whether Jones wanted speed or power, or a combination of both.

When the Saracens’ salary cap breaches came to light and put the club in turmoil, England was bound to suffer as a result.

Having your test pack play rugby in the English Championship is not the ideal situation. Trying to keep the squad from fracturing due to club animosities was another challenge.

Under Jones, England did hold it together to win another Six Nations title in 2020 and the Autumn Nations Cup that November with largely the same squad.

Saracens pushed through to the Heineken Cup semi-finals, falling short to Racing 92, despite playing for nothing in the Premiership having been stripped of competition points.

In 2021, when Saracens officially headed to the Championship, the wheels came off for England.

The fifth-place finish in the Six Nations forced Jones to consider the reset button and start a rebuild. By doing so, he would potentially lose the cohesion of his forward pack, but perhaps be in a better place by 2023.

He made the call to break up the Saracens pack, but the reality for Jones was England’s new Premiership-winning teams just weren’t at the level the London-based club were at.

Harlequins won the 2020 domestic title, but were rolled in European competition, failing to make the round of 16 in 2020-21.

They are faring much better this season, with four wins from four in pool play, with two wins each over Castres and Cardiff. The jury is still out, though, as they don’t have the runs on the board in Europe that Saracens had.

Leicester Tigers are the new Premiership frontrunners, with Saracens and Harlequins filling out the top three, but the Tigers aren’t proven yet against the best in Europe either.

As a result, this year’s English pack is a liquorice all sorts as the new clubs rise in England.

The starting forward pack against France was two from Bath (25 percent), one from Leicester (12.5 percent), one from Exeter, two from Northampton, and two from Saracens.

Against Ireland, it was two from Saracens, one from Exeter, one from Sale, one from Northampton, one from Bath, one from Harlequins and one from Leicester.

There is an easy conclusion to be made that there is no cohesion in this pack yet. In addition, the younger players haven’t dominated all before them either.

Alex Dombrandt is a quality player in the Premiership, but doesn’t yet have the experience of playing, and beating, the best of Europe with Harlequins like Billy Vunipola.

Sam Simmonds is another quality Premiership player in a similar boat. Exeter had European success in 2020 but struggled for a long time to make a deep European run.

Picking quality players from all the different Premiership teams and trying to mould an England pack with limited preparation windows is a very tall ask, one that Jones hasn’t had to really do since becoming England head coach.

There is simply not enough time to build cohesion at the level Eddie’s old England pack had.

The ready-made Saracens pack, already champions of Europe with years of experience who dominated all before them, was a drag and drop install that instantly made England one of the world’s best test sides, certainly a top two team in Europe.

Is it any surprise that France won a Grand Slam this year with a side made up of largely Toulouse and La Rochelle players? The two clubs were in the European final last year, and then again in the Top 14 final. Toulouse have been a force in Europe for the last four years.

Of the 13 forwards in France’s playing 23 against England, eight (61.5 percent) were from Toulouse or La Rochelle. The halves, Antoine Dupont and Romain Ntamack, have also been playing together at Toulouse for a long time.

What happened at Saracens derailed England at the same time. That Billy Vunipola’s test career is stalled or over is indicative of the damage done. As a 29-year-old No 8, he hasn’t reached the retirement age of that position.

The Saracens-era for England should have continued for a few years and potentially been there at the 2023 World Cup.

Jones believed the path of a reset was necessary, but English domestic rugby doesn’t have another pack like it, so it will take time to forge one. Perhaps time that Jones might not have.

The likes of Ireland can rely on Leinster and France are banking on the success of Toulouse and La Rochelle and the 2022 Six Nations showed it is hard to match that chemistry.

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5 Comments
l
lot 1005 days ago

insightful and factual. case in point, Italy has a majority from one team, finally breaks the ice in wales. Saracens is regrouping and with it, England. this current crop looks very disjointed and lacks cohesiveness as stated in the article

R
Roy 1006 days ago

There's clearly an issue with coaching - as in creating a game plan that gets the most from the players we have. But that's a side issue really.

The real failure has been the management of the transition.

There's no need to be playing Courtney Lawes as a 6, we know what he offers and we need to manage his game time, he's no spring chicken and plays an attractional style of rugby.

What happens if he gets injured?

We end up moving Itoje to 6, which weakens our 2nd row, or play 2 fetcher type player at 6 and 7, which changes the way we play.

If we're committed to having our 6 as a big player, an extra line-out option, then lets pick one and give them experience. Ludlum, Ted Hill, whoever you want, just be consistent.

If we're going to have a managing 9, then pick one to replace Youngs. I'm not saying he doesn't come back in content, but only when we have another experienced managing 9. Or, pick fast, attacking 9s and commit to it. Let them live and die by their mistakes.

England stink of a lack of consistency and conservatism. Identify the way you want to play and pick the best players to fulfil those roles.

Don't pick Manu at centre one game, then when he's injured pick a play making 12 so we have to completely change our attacking structure. That just doesn't make sense.

If you want a big centre, identify the next big centres and give them exposure. Commit to it.

P
Paul 1006 days ago

Who writes 62.5%?! We can cope with the idea of 4/8 becoming 5/8... It would be better to look at the squad, though? The front row will often be three 50 minutes and three 30 minutes players. It's not just your starting 15.

s
stu 1006 days ago

Quality players does not always transform into a quality team...poor coaching is the great leveller

i
isaac 1006 days ago

Same could be said of argentina who were really successful on the back of jaguares and australia when they picked their team full of either brumbies or reds...all Blacks too used to dominate on the back of crusaders but this have been diluted with the all blacks picking players from all the franchises

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JW 35 minutes ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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