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Why Sam Cane's injury could be a blessing in disguise for the All Blacks

Ardie Savea and Sam Cane. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Sam Cane won’t feature again in Super Rugby Aotearoa this year and while he’ll prove difficult for the Chiefs to replace, it’s his absence for the All Blacks that will prove most intriguing.

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In Mitch Karpik and Lachlan Boshier, the Chiefs have two experienced openside flankers ready to take over the No 7 jersey – though they’ve been sidelined this season through injury, which could see Luke Jacobson step in for the meantime.

At a national level, Cane’s absence may finally see spell the end of Ardie Savea being forced to play in the No 8 role, which could prove a blessing in disguise for Ian Foster in the final year of his initial contract.

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All Blacks Dane Coles, Sevu Reece, Shannon Frizell, and Scott Barrett share what they eat before a big game, who they looked up to growing up and what other sports they follow. Brought to you by Healthspan Elite. #AllBlacks #TeamTalk

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All Blacks Dane Coles, Sevu Reece, Shannon Frizell, and Scott Barrett share what they eat before a big game, who they looked up to growing up and what other sports they follow. Brought to you by Healthspan Elite. #AllBlacks #TeamTalk

Cane and Savea are two of the best players in New Zealand but we’re yet to really see them combine well in the black jersey.

Neither one deserves to be on the bench – or outside of the matchday squad altogether – and Foster has probably wracked his brain trying to determine the best way to use the two opensider flankers in one team.

There’d be an outcry if Savea weren’t starting, given his popularity with the fans, but Foster also won’t want to leave out captain Cane.

Cane’s injury, however, makes things a lot more simple.

Savea is not an international level No 8 and with Cane temporarily out of the picture, he’ll finally have the opportunity to string together a run of matches wearing No 7 – a jersey he’s only been entrusted with 10 times throughout his almost half-century of matches for the All Blacks.

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Dalton Papalii is the obvious choice to back up Savea and is due a start against a top side to see if he can be as effective on the national stage as he has been for the Blues.

While there might be room in Foster’s first squad of the year for a third openside flanker, the reality is that the All Blacks are well stocked for the meantime, with Cane, Savea and Papalii all likely options for the 2023 World Cup.

The bigger question concerns who will play on the blindside of the scrum and who will play at No 8.

Shannon Frizell is the incumbent No 6 but in a dozen or so match for the All Blacks, has never replicated his Super Rugby form. Akira Ioane, on the other hand, was plugging away at national selection for what’s felt like half a decade and when he finally got the opportunity last year, he did not disappoint.

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Ethan Blackadder, free from injury, has finally confirmed his exceptional talent and is worth a call-up, probably at the expense of Crusaders teammate Cullen Grace.

That leaves tyros Hoskins Sotutu and Luke Jacobson to contest the No 8 jersey – though Jacobson could just as easily slot in on the blindside flank and is another excellent bench option.

There are other options, of course. Tom Robinson is once again turning it on for the Blues and Grace still has untapped potential – but the above six are arguably the form loose forwards playing in Super Rugby Aotearoa.

Once Cane returns from injury, he and Savea can contest the openside flanker role and Foster can employ a horses for courses approach to selection based on the opposition, but New Zealand has too many supremely talented specialist blindside flankers and number 8s to justify employing Savea at the back of the scrum.

Cane’s injury shouldn’t have to be the catalyst for Foster picking specialist loose forwards but hopefully the captain’s absence will force the selectors’ hands.

It’s never good to see players unavailable through injury, but perhaps Cane’s absence will pave the way for New Zealand once again having one of the most feared loose forward trios in world rugby – it’s been a long time coming.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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