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‘Have to be confident’: Why the All Blacks have an edge before the World Cup

Sam Cane and coach Ian Foster of New Zealand look on after winning The Rugby Championship & Bledisloe Cup match between the New Zealand All Blacks and the Australia Wallabies at Forsyth Barr Stadium on August 05, 2023 in Dunedin, New Zealand. (Photo by Joe Allison/Getty Images)

The All Blacks have been phenomenal in the leadup to the Rugby World Cup in France, but these victories can’t erase the horrors and disappointments of last year from the history books.

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Playing against Ireland in a three-match series in July, the All Blacks started their 2022 season with a big win over Andy Farrell’s men at the fortress that is Eden Park.

But a week is a long time in Test rugby. The Irish beat the All Blacks for the first time in New Zealand a week later, and repeated that feat in the series decider.

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It was the All Blacks’ fifth series loss ever on New Zealand soil, and they succumbed to back-to-back home defeats for the first time since 1998. To say it was disastrous would be an understatement.

On a newly rereleased docuseries on NZR+, playmaker Beauden Barrett summed up the defeat by saying, “It’s not like someone’s died but it’s probably the next worst thing.”

The All Blacks went on to lose Tests to South Africa and Argentina during The Rugby Championship, and they suck by Australia in a controversial clash in Melbourne.

But the All Blacks are a force to be reckoned with once again. With just one more Test to play before the World Cup, New Zealand will be looking to extend their unbeaten run to 12 matches against South Africa.

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This team look like the All Blacks of old – a confident team who are capable of some stunning rugby – and that gives them an edge going into the World Cup.

“I think that it’s a well-tested group,” coach Ian Foster told reporters. “It’s a group that’s gone through a lot of adversity.

“In the past, we’ve gone into World Cups feeling perhaps where we get tested in adversity is at the World Cup. Winning one out of seven away World Cups reflects that as a country.

“We have to be confident. We’ve gone through adversity, this group has stayed tight, they’ve figured out solutions.

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“They’re really growing in confidence in how they lead themselves on the park and how they play.

“We’re confident we’ve prepared as well as we can. You go into World Cups and know everything is week by week.

“Hopefully you’ve had that message from us anyway, that’s how we’ve been approaching this year.”

The All Blacks flew out of New Zealand on Friday afternoon ahead of their crunch clash with the World Champion Springboks at Twickenham next weekend.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
4
Average Points scored
18
23
First try wins
60%
Home team wins
60%

But before flying out of the country, coach Foster made sure to thank all the fans who had supported the All Blacks this year.

“I just want to thank everyone for their support, the last month has been unreal,” Foster added.

“The amount of support we’ve got from the country going around, the time in Napier was special, it had a big impact on this team, kept us grounded.

“(I’m) grateful for the chances we’ve been given and the adversity other people are going through.

“We just want to do them proud.”

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fl 14 minutes ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

"Right, so even if they were the 4 worst teams in Champions Cup, you'd still have them back by default?"

I think (i) this would literally never happen, (ii) it technically couldn't quite happen, given at least 1 team would qualify via the challenge cup, so if the actual worst team in the CC qualified it would have to be because they did really well after being knocked down to the challenge cup.

But the 13th-15th teams could qualify and to be fair I didn't think about this as a possibility. I don't think a team should be able to qualify via the Champions Cup if they finish last in their group.


Overall though I like my idea best because my thinking is, each league should get a few qualification spots, and then the rest of the spots should go to the next best teams who have proven an ability to be competitive in the champions cup. The elite French clubs generally make up the bulk of the semi-final spots, but that doesn't (necessarily) mean that the 5th-8th best French clubs would be competitive in a slimmed down champions cup. The CC is always going to be really great competition from the semis onwards, but the issue is that there are some pretty poor showings in the earlier rounds. Reducing the number of teams would help a little bit, but we could improve things further by (i) ensuring that the on-paper "worst" teams in the competition have a track record of performing well in the CC, and (ii) by incentivising teams to prioritise the competition. Teams that have a chance to win the whole thing will always be incentivised to do that, but my system would incentivise teams with no chance of making the final to at least try to win a few group stage matches.


"I'm afraid to say"

Its christmas time; there's no need to be afraid!

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