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Woeful Wales - what has happened to last year's No.1 ranked rugby team?

By PA
(Photo hy David Fitzgerald/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

Wales, Six Nations Grand Slam champions last year, are currently experiencing an alarming form slump that has seen them lose six successive Tests.

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Here, the PA news agency identifies some of the areas under scrutiny.

What are the harsh facts?
It is only 15 months ago that Wales were officially ranked number one team in the world. Victory over World Cup warm-up opponents England in Cardiff confirmed their rise to the summit – albeit for only a fortnight before New Zealand reclaimed top spot – after a run of 15 wins in 16 games that included a Six Nations title triumph and Grand Slam. In stark contrast, Wales are currently on a six-Test losing run, which is their worst results sequence since 2012, have conceded 18 tries during that period and fallen to eighth in the world. Defence coach Byron Hayward, meanwhile, left his role last week after just 12 months in the job.

What are the problem areas that need solving?
Discipline, for a start. Single-figure penalty counts are widely viewed as being the requirement at Test level, but Wales conceded 16 against Guinness Six Nations opponents Scotland last month, then 18 in losing their Autumn Nations Cup opener to Ireland, prompting centre Jonathan Davies to state: “Our indiscipline needs to be addressed immediately.” The penalties are bad enough, but Wales, with the honourable exception of back-row newcomer Shane Lewis-Hughes, are being bossed at the breakdown area, their lineout is misfiring and the scrum has also been under pressure. Rugby is a simple game about doing the basics well, but Wales are currently falling short in those critical areas.

Video Spacer

Sexton on Ireland’s victory over Wales:

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Sexton on Ireland’s victory over Wales:

Do Wales possess the playing personnel to turn things around?
Twelve of the starting line-up on duty in last year’s World Cup semi-final against South Africa were involved in the Dublin loss to Ireland three days ago, so there is no question that Wales have the quality. Factor in injuries to players like Tomos Williams, Gareth Anscombe, Ken Owens, Josh Navidi and Ross Moriarty, and the cupboard is certainly not bare. There are some quality younger players in the ranks, such as Callum Sheedy and Louis Rees-Zammit, awaiting starts that should come against Georgia next weekend, so there is cause for optimism. No team becomes a bad one overnight.

Is pressure mounting on head coach Wayne Pivac?
Inevitably, given that Wales have won only two games – against Italy and the Barbarians – since he succeeded Warren Gatland last November. Professional sport is a results-driven business, and there can be no hiding from reality. In fairness, Pivac has not done that, and he fully accepts that things are not good enough at the moment. If Pivac was managing a football club, time might already have run out, but the Welsh Rugby Union knows and understands he has a long-term plan towards the 2023 World Cup, and knee-jerk reactions are not expected. During Gatland’s 12-year reign, Wales won four Six Nations titles, three Grand Slams and reached two World Cup semi-finals, so high standards have been set.

Is life about to get any easier?
No. Wales should at least end the losing run when they tackle Georgia in Llanelli, but recently-crowned Six Nations champions England are then next up. An Autumn Nations Cup play-off – potentially against Italy or Fiji – will end the year, before Six Nations business begins in February, with Wales hosting Ireland, and facing Scotland away before entertaining England. Away games against Italy and France follow, prior to a scheduled summer tour to play Tests against All Blacks conquerors Argentina. Fortunately for Wales, the 2023 World Cup draw seedings are already locked in – they were determined on world rankings in January this year before the coronavirus pandemic – and Wales are in the top band alongside South Africa, New Zealand and England. Some light relief.

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AllyOz 23 hours ago
Does the next Wallabies coach have to be an Australian?

I will preface this comment by saying that I hope Joe Schmidt continues for as long as he can as I think he has done a tremendous job to date. He has, in some ways, made the job a little harder for himself by initially relying on domestic based players and never really going over the top with OS based players even when he relaxed his policy a little more. I really enjoy how the team are playing at the moment.


I think Les Kiss, because (1) he has a bit more international experience, (2) has previously coached with Schmidt and in the same setup as Schmidt, might provide the smoothest transition, though I am not sure that this necessarily needs to be the case.


I would say one thing though about OS versus local coaches. I have a preference for local coaches but not for the reason that people might suppose (certainly not for the reason OJohn will have opined - I haven't read all the way down but I think I can guess it).


Australia has produced coaches of international standing who have won World Cups and major trophies. Bob Dwyer, Rod Macqueen, Alan Jones, Michael Cheika and Eddie Jones. I would add John Connolly - though he never got the international success he was highly successful with Queensland against quality NZ opposition and I think you could argue, never really got the run at international level that others did (OJohn might agree with that bit). Some of those are controversial but they all achieved high level results. You can add to that a number of assistants who worked OS at a high level.


But what the lack of a clear Australian coach suggests to me is that we are no longer producing coaches of international quality through our systems. We have had some overseas based coaches in our system like Thorn and Wessels and Cron (though I would suggest Thorn was a unique case who played for Australia in one code and NZ in the other and saw himself as a both a NZer and a Queenslander having arrived here at around age 12). Cron was developed in the Australian system anyway, so I don't have a problem with where he was born.


But my point is that we used to have systems in Australia that produced world class coaches. The systems developed by Dick Marks, which adopted and adapted some of the best coaching training approaches at the time from around the world (Wales particularly) but focussed on training Australian coaches with the best available methods, in my mind (as someone who grew up and began coaching late in that era) was a key part of what produced the highly skilled players that we produced at the time and also that produced those world class coaches. I think it was slipping already by the time I did my Level II certificate in 2002 and I think Eddie Jones influence and the priorities of the executive, particularly John O'Neill, might have been the beginning of the end. But if we have good coaching development programmes at school and junior level that will feed through to representative level then we will have


I think this is the missing ingredient that both ourselves and, ironically, Wales (who gave us the bones of our coaching system that became world leading), is a poor coaching development system. Fix that and you start getting players developing basic skills better and earlier in their careers and this feeds through all the way through the system and it also means that, when coaching positions at all levels come up, there are people of quality to fill them, who feed through the system all the way to the top. We could be exporting more coaches to Japan and England and France and the UK and the USA, as we have done a bit in the past.


A lack of a third tier between SR and Club rugby might block this a little - but I am not sure that this alone is the reason - it does give people some opportunity though to be noticed and play a key role in developing that next generation of players coming through. And we have never been able to make the cost sustainable.


I don't think it matters that we have an OS coach as our head coach at the moment but I think it does tell us something about overall rugby ecosystem that, when a coaching appointment comes up, we don't have 3 or 4 high quality options ready to take over. The failure of our coaching development pathway is a key missing ingredient for me and one of the reasons our systems are failing.

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