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World Rankings set for Autumn Nations Series shake-up

New Zealand's Sevu Reece is tackled by Japan's Ryoto Nakamura during the rugby union Test match between Japan and New Zealands All Blacks at the National Stadium in Tokyo on October 29, 2022. (Photo by Philip FONG / AFP) (Photo by PHILIP FONG/AFP via Getty Images)

Whilst England’s Red Roses remain untouchable at the top of the World Rugby Women’s Rankings, with a massive advantage over their nearest rivals Canada and currently standing at the highest rating there has ever been, the prize of being called the best men’s team in the world is very much up for grabs over the coming weeks.

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With South Africa having given up their near-12-month reign at the top during The Rugby Championship, despite winning their first southern hemisphere title since 2019, Ireland will go into the Autumn Nations Series at number one. However, with only 0.35 of a point separating Andy Farrell’s Six Nations champions from the world champion Springboks, it could still be a very fluid situation in November, especially as the sides ranked one and two do not face other.

Ireland have four games to South Africa’s three in the Autumn Nations Series, all at the fortress-like Aviva Stadium, but with home weighting taken into account, their ability to pick up points, against New Zealand, Argentina, Fiji and Australia will be somewhat stymied.

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Wallaby squad announcement

Wallaby coach Joe Schmidt explains his squad selections

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Wallaby squad announcement

Wallaby coach Joe Schmidt explains his squad selections

Taking the All Blacks‘ scalp in Dublin on November 8th would undoubtedly net them the most points, as Scott Robertson’s side are the closest of their November opponents in the rankings, with a gap of just 3.42 points between the two heavyweights. Whereas, as things stand, Argentina, Fiji and Australia are ranked sixth, ninth and 10th, with only minimal gains – if any – possible for wins in any of those three fixtures.

New Zealand could also have closed the gap on Ireland by the time the teams meet, as they’ll have stolen a march on them by playing twice before November 8th, which would serve in Ireland’s favour as they’ll be more heavily rewarded if they do the business and register a third consecutive win over the All Blacks in Dublin.

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First up, New Zealand take on Japan in Yokohama and whilst there are no points available for a win this Saturday, the All Blacks will pick up points if they do a number on England at Allianz Stadium, Twickenham, the following weekend.

Having lost three matches in a Rugby Championship campaign for the first time in history, New Zealand will be hoping a win over Japan will set them up nicely for a strong finish to the year and shut down any chat that they could match the unwanted record of the 1998 All Blacks.

Scott Robertson was a playing member of that squad, which was the first and only All Blacks outfit to lose five games in a calendar year, and won’t want to see that stat repeated on his watch as head coach. After Japan, England and Ireland, New Zealand face another tough assignment against France at the Stade de France before signing off against Italy in Turin.

New Zealand have beaten Japan in all five previous Tests but in the the last two, Japan have scored 31 points, including a narrow seven-point defeat last time out in Tokyo in 2022. A historic win for Japan would result in New Zealand losing third place to France, while Japan would climb two places above Samoa and Georgia into 12th.

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Japan’s head coach Eddie Jones once had a proud record against the All Blacks in his time with Australia, and was the last person to lead the Wallabies to Bledisloe Cup glory in 2002. He was also the man in charge when England famously beat New Zealand in the semi-final of RWC 2019. But, overall, Jones’ winning record against the All Blacks is only 33.3%, so a win this weekend would arguably rank close to the time his Brave Blossoms upset South Africa in the so-called ‘Miracle of Brighton’ match at RWC 2015.

In addition to the Autumn Nations Series appetiser in Yokohama City, there are a clutch of matches taking place in Rugby Europe competitions, with the clash between Sweden and Czechia in Trelleborg perhaps of most interest from a rankings point of view.

Sweden, who are making big strides under Englishman Alex Laybourne, are currently at their highest-ever ranking of 32nd. But they can raise the bar even higher this weekend, with a win of more than 15 points taking them above Germany and up to a new all-time high of 31st.

With Norway dropping out of the world’s top 100 on the back of a dreadful 15-game losing run and Denmark and an improving Finland still some way off the pace, ranked 72nd and 78th, Sweden are the clear flag-bearers for Scandanavian rugby.

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Comments

1 Comment
R
RedWarrior 29 days ago

RugbyPass and others are missing the point of the actual practical value of rankings.

The important jostling is to be in the top 6 for 2027 RWC draw when the finals rankings are taken late 2025. This is because there are 6 pools in the draw so top 6 teams avoid eachother in pools and also in 1/8 final matches if they win their pool.


With the 'Big 5' in play the battle is likely for 6th place in the rankings held by Argentina. Challengers are Scotland, Italy, Fiji and Australia. Swing Matches to watch out for:


2nd Nov: Scotland v Fiji

8th Nov: Italy v Argentina

24th Nov: Scotland v Australia


(Note* Top #4 ranked teams who win their pools may also get drawn to avoid other top #4 pool winning teams until the semi.)

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JW 2 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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