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World Rankings: The worst-rated All Blacks of all time?

By Jon Newcombe
All Blacks dejected after the try of Malcolm Marx of the Springboks during the Castle Lager Rugby Championship match between South Africa and New Zealand at DHL Stadium on September 07, 2024 in Cape Town, South Africa. (Photo by Ashley Vlotman/Gallo Images/Getty Images)

While there is a feeling that the best of Scott Robertson’s All Blacks is still to come, three defeats in a Rugby Championship campaign for the first time in history has led to the critics sharpening their knives.

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Cutting to the chase, things could get a lot worse this weekend if they lose to Australia in the Bledisloe Cup.

The All Blacks have had a firm grip on the trophy since 2003 and have a proud record of only one defeat in their last 10 visits to Sydney.

Video Spacer

Wallaby coach Joe Schmidt previews Bledisloe One

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Wallaby coach Joe Schmidt previews Bledisloe One

However, if the wounded Wallabies can galvanise themselves and make it a record-breaking day for James Slipper to remember, the current All Blacks team could be rated the worst of all time since the World Rugby Men’s Rankings were introduced in October 2003.

Fixture
Rugby Championship
Australia
00:45
21 Sep 24
New Zealand
All Stats and Data

It will take something extraordinary for the fallen Rugby Championship champions to plummet to new depths, but if Australia were to win by more than 15 points at the Accor Stadium, the All Blacks’ rating would drop below 86 points for the first time.

When they sunk to their lowest-ever position of fifth under former boss Ian Foster on 8 August, 2022, the All Blacks had a rating of 86.13 points.

But an Australian win by more than 15 points for only the fifth time in the 121-year history of trans-Tasman fixtures would lead to the All Blacks’ rating being cut by 2.32 points to 85.93.

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The last time Australia achieved a win of that magnitude against the All Blacks was at the Optus Stadium in Perth in 2019, when they won 47-26.

The other occasions were in 1999 when they won 28-7 at the Telstra Dome in Sydney, a 26-10 win at the Sydney Cricket Ground in 1980 and way back in the mists of time, a 17-0 win at Lancaster Park in Christchurch in 1921.

Any form of defeat regardless of the margin will see the All Blacks drop down to fourth in the rankings, while Australia will climb up to eighth if they avoid defeat.

If New Zealand justify their heavy favourites’ tag and reel off an eighth consecutive win over their arch-rivals they will remain in third.

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Related

Defeat for Australia opens the door for Fiji to improve on 10th place if they are able to claim a record sixth Pacific Nations Cup title with victory over Final Series hosts Japan in Osaka on Saturday, a match that can be watched live and for free on RugbyPass TV. For this to happen, either Fiji or New Zealand must win by more than 15 points.

Meanwhile, Runaway Rugby Championship leaders South Africa could extend their advantage over Ireland at the top of the rankings to 1.74 rating points if they beat Argentina by more than 15 points in Santiago del Estero.

On the flip side, a first defeat of The Rugby Championship 2024 would see Ireland replace the Springboks at number one as well as potentially leaving the title race open going into the final round.

Argentina will return to sixth place if they win or draw against South Africa, climbing back above Scotland.

Elsewhere, Japan will move above Georgia and into 12th place if they win the Pacific Nations Cup on home soil and USA stand to gain two to three places if they beat Samoa in the third place play-off.

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The Asahi Super Dry Pacific Nations Cup is in full swing - catch every match live on RugbyPass TV or via your local broadcaster! Watch here

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Comments

2 Comments
L
LE 55 mins ago

Bit of a silly article.

The entire premise is if NZ lose by more than 15 pts to a poor Australia side, which lets face it seems extremely unlikely

B
BM 1 hr ago

NZ did not overlook Joe Schmidt as he had another job with R.A. by the time Scott Robertson's new coaching group was finalized. As a Kiwi we respect his record so R.A. better not turf him like so many other Kiwi Coaches have been sacked before they had the chance to fulfill their contracts though EDDIE JONES deserved all he got by playing cruel games with players and R.A. in his second appointment.

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N
Nickers 1 hour ago
Why the All Blacks overlooking Joe Schmidt could yet hurt them in the Bledisloe battle

I've never understood why Razor stayed on in NZ after winning 3 SR titles in a row. Surely at that point it's time to look for the next thing, which at that stage of his career should not have been the ABs, and arguably still shouldn't be given his lack of experience in International rugby. What was gained by staying on at the Crusaders to win 4 more titles?


2 years in the premiership, 2 years as an assistant international coach, then 4 years taking a team through a WC cycle would have given him what he needed to be the best ABs coach. As it is he is learning on the job, and his inexperience shows even more when he surrounds himself with assistant coaches who have no top international experience either.


He is being faced with extreme adversity and pressure now, possibly for the first time in his coaching career. Maybe he will come through well and maybe he won't, but the point is the coaching selection process is so flawed that he is doing it for the first time while in arguably the top coaching job in world rugby. It's like your first job out of university being the CEO of Microsoft or Google.


There was talk of him going to England if the ABs didn't get him, that would have been perfect in my opinion. That is a super high pressure environment and NZR would have been way better off letting him learn the trade with someone else's team. I predicted when Razor was appointed that he would be axed or resign after 2 years then go on to have a lot of success in his next appointment. I hope that doesn't happen because it will mean a lot of turmoil for the ABs, but it's not unthinkable. Many of his moves so far look exactly like the early days of Foster's era when he too was flanked by coaches who were not up to the job. I would like to see some combination of Cotter, Joseph, Brown, and Felix Jones come into the set up.

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