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Six Reasons The Kiwis Are Going To Win The Four Nations Final This Weekend

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On form the Kangaroos should be unbackable favourites to beat the Kiwis at Anfield this weekend. Here are six reasons you should throw that form book out the window and prepare for a Kiwis victory.

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1. Their backs are against the wall
The Kiwis just drew (and deserved to lose) to a Scotland team comprised largely of semi-professionals – a performance rightfully decried as one of the worst in team history. Shaun Johnson is obviously feeling the pressure of being the team’s primary playmaker and sidekick Thomas Leuluai’s injury means the Kiwis will be starting a second rower at standoff. Rookie coach David Kidwell seems flat out managing the most basic elements of the coaching gig and at this point looks like he would be more suited to coaching park football.

The Kiwis have lost their last three matches against the Kangaroos by a combined score of 56-10 and now face a Kangaroos team who appeared to be hitting their straps against England. But despite their rather murky overall record the Kiwis have a history of performing at their best when the odds against them seem the greatest.

2. This is just what the Kiwis do
In three of their four title-winning campaigns the Kiwis have lost to the Kangaroos in pool play (2005 Tri Nations, 2008 World Cup, 2010 Four Nations). At this point it seems like less of a trend and more of a strategy. It’s as though the Kiwis know they can cruise through the pool section of the tournament and as long as they have a good dig in the final, no one will remember their shoddy performances in the games leading up to it. If the Kiwis manage to knock off the Kangaroos at Anfield that draw against Scotland will be relegated to little more than a frustrating answer to a pub quiz question.

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3. International league needs the Kiwis to win
A year out from the World Cup a victory for the Kiwis over a star-studded Kangaroos side would be just the thing to build some buzz for international league’s showpiece tournament. A listless performance by the boys in black could herald a return to the bad old days when a major international tournament was just another slow coronation for the Aussies. It’s going to be a tough gig selling tickets to Ireland versus Italy in Cairns if it feels like they might as well hand Australia the trophy at the opening ceremony.

4. The game is being played at Anfield
An iconic sporting ground laden with decades of amazing history. Funnily enough almost none of that history involves rugby league. The decision to play the bulk of this year’s Four Nations away from the hotbed of rugby league fandom just adds to the oddness surrounding the match and almost guarantees a ridiculous result.

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5. Shaun Johnson just launched a clothing line
It doesn’t matter how good you look, if you can’t win something (really, anything at this point) then it’s tough work selling fans on your personal brand. The fact that Johnson just launched a clothing line targeted at league fans that only goes up to 2XL throws up more questions about his decision making than his kicking on the fifth tackle. After winning the least-deserved Man of the Match award in the history of organized sport and earning a well-earned serve from rugby league Immortal Andrew Johns, ‘SJ’ desperately needs an epic performance to get his t-shirts and hoodies flying off the shelves.

6. It’s 2016
The All Blacks lost to Ireland, Cronulla won the Premiership, the Chicago Cubs are World Series champions and Donald Trump is going to be President of the United States. At this point it would be more of a shock if the Kiwis didn’t upset the Kangaroos on Sunday.


Watch the Four Nations final live and on demand on Rugby Pass. Kick-off Sunday November 20, 10:30pm HKT

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J
JW 1 hour ago
Scott Robertson explains the new halves pairing for the All Blacks ahead of France

More indecision and excuses from Razor.


You've given a spot at 6 to Finau whom you haven't even had the courage to use off the bench in the last two games. Now the young enforcer is going into a big much with no rugby, we should expect a similar result to how Aumua struggled to impact a game after he'd hardly been given any chances of the bench either.


Weve now dropped a back three player who also wasn't even given any game time off the bench for someone coming in cold when they really need to have been playing constantly to perform at their best. There are just so many better pictures that should have been present rather than this mickey mouse selection.


I really hope Finau can overcome this, it won't be the first time he's had to. How is the bench even made up? Could you not just have included these changes in the article as well? I actually like BB coming back in, it highlights how courageous he is after sitting out through another concussion that could just as easily sent him back into months of symptoms again.


Dmac was also off his game last week, as was Ratima, with the poor platform Razor and his team have been setting the players up with. He needs to freedom to clear his mind from the clutter that saw him make so many bad decisions last week. It will still probably be a net loss for the team performance not having him on from the start but it should be better for them in the long run if he's allowed to just come on late and play his game trying to claw things back for the team.


With Roigard starting that might prove an outlet for the team to actually get on top first however. Along with Ardie busting a gut in his new role and emptying the tank by halftime, and being replaced by another new star, might mean that Dmac is just icing on the cake at the end.

13 Go to comments
F
Flankly 1 hour ago
Jake White: If I was England coach, I’d have been livid

I am not an England fan, but still very disappointed at what Borthwick is serving up. Regardless of winning or losing, they should be executing the basics at a world class level. That was the reason they replaced Eddie with Steve. After two years England has not built the solid foundations that the RFU were presumably after. Its hard to see it as anything other than a coaching problem.


Having said that I really hope that Rassie has got his team fired up for the game. The Boks at maximum intensity and with no crises (eg red cards) would be expected to win this game. But it does not take much reduction in pressure for Bok teams to lose. The Boks lose when complacency sets in.


On Felix Jones, my guess is that they can't agree on a non-compete so they kept him on payroll for the duration of the Nov tests. The risk was that he would be hired by Rassie or Razor prior to the tests.


As relates to law tweaking, it feels like WR are more comfortable discussing changes in laws than insisting on implementation. For my money the biggest thing they could do is to be strict and consistent in officiating ruck behavior. In every game we see flopping, lazy lying, clearing of unbound players, making plays while off your feet, delays in placing the ball, side entry, offside line infringements, and similar nonsense. It's really really bad, and the WR attitude seems to be that we should turn a blind eye in pursuit of "flowing rugby". In truth it's just boring, because it randomizes the outcome.

11 Go to comments
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